THE ALTERNATIVE
Aaron Jones Sr.
RB ยท MINStats & schedule โบ11.4FF projected
โ +1.9 vs ESPN
vs INDSun 1:00 PM ET
Should I start Aaron Jones Sr. or George Kittle this week? Week 7 Standard (2026)
THE RESEARCH PICK
Start George Kittle
Week 7 ยท Standard
The available paired forecasts favor George Kittle after combining their estimates. The saved inputs do not isolate a stronger football-specific advantage, so treat this as a narrow research lean.
Forecast updated ยท Standard
vs INDRESEARCH PICK
George Kittle
TE ยท SFStats & schedule โบ11.7FF projected
โ +0.4 vs ESPN
at ATLSun 1:00 PM ET
Aaron Jones Sr.
FF11.4 FP
Boosted Trees6.9 FP
Workload11.3 FP
Monte Carlo12.6 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 14.3 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 2.0 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 14.3 FP.
- The IND defensive matchup changes the FF estimate up 3.75%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 4.5 targets and 12.7 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Last 3 recorded games: 20.7 carries per game.
George Kittle
FF11.7 FP
Boosted Trees14.0 FP
Workload11.1 FP
Monte Carlo11.9 FP
- Recent scoring average: 9.4 FP.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 7.9 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Last 3 recorded games: 6.7 targets per game.
Projection breakdown
Aaron Jones Sr.
Fortified11.4
ESPN9.5
Sleeper10.8
FantasyProsโ
Aaron Jones Sr. faces IND in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 14.3 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast up 3.75%.
George Kittle
Fortified11.7
ESPN11.2
Sleeper11.3
FantasyProsโ
George Kittle faces ATL in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 9.4 fantasy points.
Actuals, projections & playoff outlook
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