THE ALTERNATIVE
Tyler Allgeier
RB ยท ARIStats & schedule โบ10.8FF projected
โ -0.3 vs ESPN
vs DENSun 4:05 PM ET
Should I start Tyler Allgeier or Xavier Worthy this week? Week 7 PPR (2026)
THE RESEARCH PICK
Start Xavier Worthy
Week 7 ยท PPR
Recent scoring favors Xavier Worthy: 12.7 versus 7.4 FP per game.
Forecast updated ยท PPR
vs DENRESEARCH PICK
Xavier Worthy
WR ยท KCStats & schedule โบ11.1FF projected
โ -1.3 vs ESPN
at SEASun 8:20 PM ET
Tyler Allgeier
FF10.8 FP
Boosted Trees10.9 FP
Workload9.9 FP
Monte Carlo9.7 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 7.4 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate up 0.2 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 7.4 FP.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 2.4 targets and 14.1 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Carson Beck; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 3 recorded games: 9.7 carries per game.
Xavier Worthy
FF11.1 FP
Boosted Trees11.6 FP
Workload12.7 FP
Monte Carlo12.5 FP
- Recent scoring average: 12.7 FP.
- The SEA defensive matchup changes the FF estimate down 7.5%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 7.4 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Last 3 recorded games: 5.3 targets per game.
Projection breakdown
Tyler Allgeier
Fortified10.8
ESPN11.2
Sleeper11.4
FantasyProsโ
Tyler Allgeier faces DEN in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 7.4 fantasy points.
Xavier Worthy
Fortified11.1
ESPN12.4
Sleeper11.1
FantasyProsโ
Xavier Worthy faces SEA in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 12.7 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 7.5%.
Actuals, projections & playoff outlook
Your next decision
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