
Should I start Tai Felton or Tim Patrick this week? Week 7 PPR (2026)
THE RESEARCH PICK
Start Tim Patrick
Week 7 ยท PPR
Tim Patrick averaged 3.0 targets per game across the last 2 recorded games, compared with 2.0 for Tai Felton. More opportunities provide another route to fantasy points.
Forecast updated ยท PPR

THE ALTERNATIVE

1.6FF projected
โ +0.6 vs ESPN
Sun 1:00 PM ET
RESEARCH PICK

Tim Patrick
WR ยท NYJStats & schedule โบ1.7FF projected
โ +0.2 vs ESPN
Sun 1:00 PM ET
Tai Felton
FF1.6 FP
Boosted Trees-0.1 FP
Workload2.0 FP
Monte Carlo2.1 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 3.5 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 0.6 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 3.5 FP.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 1.2 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Last 3 recorded games: 2.0 targets per game.
Tim Patrick
FF1.7 FP
Boosted Trees1.0 FP
Workload2.5 FP
Monte Carlo2.7 FP
- Recent scoring average: 3.5 FP.
- The MIA defensive matchup changes the FF estimate down 8.75%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 1.4 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Kene Nwangwu, Breece Hall; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 2 recorded games: 3.0 targets per game.
Projection breakdown
Tai Felton
Fortified1.6
ESPN1.0
Sleeper1.5
FantasyProsโ
Tai Felton faces IND in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 3.5 fantasy points.
Tim Patrick
Fortified1.7
ESPN1.5
Sleeper1.8
FantasyProsโ
Tim Patrick faces MIA in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 3.5 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 8.75%.
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