THE ALTERNATIVE
Pat Freiermuth
TE ยท PITStats & schedule โบ10.5FF projected
โ +0.5 vs ESPN
at NOSun 9:30 AM ET
Should I start Pat Freiermuth or Tre Tucker this week? Week 7 PPR (2026)
THE RESEARCH PICK
Start Tre Tucker
Week 7 ยท PPR
Tre Tucker averaged 6.7 targets per game across the last 3 recorded games, compared with 5.0 for Pat Freiermuth. More opportunities provide another route to fantasy points. Recent scoring favors Tre Tucker: 14.2 versus 11.8 FP per game.
Forecast updated ยท PPR
at NORESEARCH PICK
Tre Tucker
WR ยท LVStats & schedule โบ10.1FF projected
โ -0.4 vs ESPN
vs LARSun 4:25 PM ET
Pat Freiermuth
FF10.5 FP
Boosted Trees9.4 FP
Workload8.5 FP
Monte Carloโ FP
- Recent scoring average: 11.8 FP.
- The NO defensive matchup changes the FF estimate up 3.75%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 4.6 targets and 0.4 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Rico Dowdle; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 3 recorded games: 5.0 targets per game.
Tre Tucker
FF10.1 FP
Boosted Trees9.4 FP
Workload11.5 FP
Monte Carlo11.8 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 14.2 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 0.6 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 14.2 FP.
- The LAR defensive matchup changes the FF estimate down 6.25%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 5.6 targets and 0.6 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Mike Washington Jr.; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 3 recorded games: 6.7 targets per game.
Projection breakdown
Pat Freiermuth
Fortified10.5
ESPN10.0
Sleeper9.9
FantasyProsโ
Pat Freiermuth faces NO in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 11.8 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast up 3.75%.
Tre Tucker
Fortified10.1
ESPN10.5
Sleeper9.1
FantasyProsโ
Tre Tucker faces LAR in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 14.2 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 6.25%.
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