THE ALTERNATIVE
Mitch Tinsley
WR ยท CINStats & schedule โบ1.2FF projected
โ +1.2 vs ESPN
at BALSun 1:00 PM ET
Should I start Mitch Tinsley or Pharaoh Brown this week? Week 7 PPR (2026)
THE RESEARCH PICK
Start Pharaoh Brown
Week 7 ยท PPR
The available paired forecasts favor Pharaoh Brown after combining their estimates. The saved inputs do not isolate a stronger football-specific advantage, so treat this as a narrow research lean.
Forecast updated ยท PPR
at BALRESEARCH PICK
Pharaoh Brown
TE ยท INDStats & schedule โบ0.9FF projected
โ -0.4 vs ESPN
at MINSun 1:00 PM ET
Mitch Tinsley
FF1.2 FP
Boosted Trees-1.1 FP
Workload2.2 FP
Monte Carlo2.1 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 4.0 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 0.6 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 4.0 FP.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 1.4 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Last 2 recorded games: 3.5 targets per game.
Pharaoh Brown
FF0.9 FP
Boosted Trees2.2 FP
Workload1.2 FP
Monte Carlo1.2 FP
- Recent scoring average: 1.7 FP.
- The MIN defensive matchup changes the FF estimate down 10%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 0.9 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
Projection breakdown
Mitch Tinsley
Fortified1.2
ESPN0.0
Sleeper1.1
FantasyProsโ
Mitch Tinsley faces BAL in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 4.0 fantasy points.
Pharaoh Brown
Fortified0.9
ESPN1.3
Sleeper0.6
FantasyProsโ
Pharaoh Brown faces MIN in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 1.7 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 10%.
Actuals, projections & playoff outlook
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