RESEARCH PICK
Michael Mayer
TE ยท LVStats & schedule โบ7.9FF projected
โ -0.5 vs ESPN
vs LARSun 4:25 PM ET
Should I start Michael Mayer or Ted Hurst III this week? Week 7 PPR (2026)
THE RESEARCH PICK
Start Michael Mayer
Week 7 ยท PPR
Michael Mayer averaged 6.7 targets per game across the last 3 recorded games, compared with 3.0 for Ted Hurst III. More opportunities provide another route to fantasy points. Recent scoring favors Michael Mayer: 11.3 versus 3.8 FP per game.
Forecast updated ยท PPR
vs LARTHE ALTERNATIVE
Ted Hurst III
WR ยท TBStats & schedule โบ8.0FF projected
โ -2.0 vs ESPN
at CARSun 1:00 PM ET
Michael Mayer
FF7.9 FP
Boosted Trees7.5 FP
Workload10.1 FP
Monte Carlo10.2 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 11.3 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 1.6 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 11.3 FP.
- The LAR defensive matchup changes the FF estimate down 8.75%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 5.4 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Mike Washington Jr.; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 3 recorded games: 6.7 targets per game.
Ted Hurst III
FF8.0 FP
Boosted Trees10.2 FP
Workload7.5 FP
Monte Carlo7.7 FP
- Recent scoring average: 3.8 FP.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 5.2 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Baker Mayfield; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 3 recorded games: 3.0 targets per game.
Projection breakdown
Michael Mayer
Fortified7.9
ESPN8.4
Sleeper7.2
FantasyProsโ
Michael Mayer faces LAR in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 11.3 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 8.75%.
Ted Hurst III
Fortified8.0
ESPN10.0
Sleeper8.0
FantasyProsโ
Ted Hurst III faces CAR in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 3.8 fantasy points.
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