Should I start Malik Willis or Matthew Stafford this week? Week 8 PPR (2026)

THE RESEARCH PICK

Start Matthew Stafford

Week 8 · PPR

Matthew Stafford averaged 46.0 pass attempts per game across the last 3 recorded games, compared with 26.7 for Malik Willis. More opportunities provide another route to fantasy points.

Forecast updated Oct 29, 2026, 7:27 AM ET · PPR

THE ALTERNATIVE

Malik Willis

QB · MIAStats & schedule

16.6FF projected

↑ +0.4 vs ESPN

vs NE

Sun 4:25 PM ET

RESEARCH PICK

Matthew Stafford

QB · LARStats & schedule

16.6FF projected

↓ -0.3 vs ESPN

vs LAC

Sun 4:05 PM ET

Experimental research pick, not a proven win probability. This does not change either FF projection.

Malik Willis

FF16.6 FP

Boosted Trees12.7 FP

Workload15.3 FP

Monte Carlo15.1 FP

Middle 80% scoring range: 6.3–24.4 FP

His prior three-game scoring average was 18.9 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 1.0 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
Recent scoring average: 22.4 FP.
The saved workload scenario allocates 0.0 targets and 6.2 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
Return scenarios include Greg Dulcich, Jared Wayne, Malik Washington, Will Kacmarek; their availability can redistribute the workload.
Last 3 recorded games: 26.7 pass attempts per game.

Matthew Stafford

FF16.6 FP

Boosted Trees16.9 FP

Workload16.2 FP

Monte Carlo16.1 FP

Middle 80% scoring range: 6.8–26.0 FP

His prior three-game scoring average was 22.1 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 1.0 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
Recent scoring average: 20.6 FP.
The LAC defensive matchup changes the FF estimate down 2.5%.
The saved workload scenario allocates 0.0 targets and 1.4 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
Return scenarios include Colby Parkinson; their availability can redistribute the workload.
Last 3 recorded games: 46.0 pass attempts per game.

Experimental models are research signals, not a validated tiebreaker yet. Missing saved results stay blank. No simulations or training were run for this request.

Malik Willis

Fortified16.6

ESPN16.2

Sleeper13.3

FantasyPros16.0

Boosted TreesExperimental · saved Oct 27, 12:26 AM ET12.7

WorkloadExperimental · saved Oct 28, 9:08 PM ET15.3

Monte CarloExperimental · conditional on availability · central 80%: 6.3–24.4 FP · saved Oct 28, 9:16 PM ET15.1

Malik Willis faces NE in Week 8. Recent scoring average: 22.4 fantasy points.

Matthew Stafford

Fortified16.6

ESPN16.9

Sleeper14.9

FantasyPros17.5

Boosted TreesExperimental · saved Oct 27, 12:26 AM ET16.9

WorkloadExperimental · includes FantasyPros stat inputs · saved Oct 28, 9:08 PM ET16.2

Monte CarloExperimental · conditional on availability · central 80%: 6.8–26.0 FP · saved Oct 28, 9:16 PM ET16.1

Matthew Stafford faces LAC in Week 8. Recent scoring average: 20.6 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 2.5%.

The projections are effectively level (16.6 vs 16.6 FP). There is no meaningful projected edge. Compare the matchups and confirm your lineup before kickoff.

Updated Oct 29, 2026, 7:27 AM ET. Projections can change before kickoff.

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Scoring & lineup notes

PPR awards one point per reception; half-PPR awards 0.5; standard awards none. Custom league rules can change the result. Confirm active status, kickoff and lineup locks. Projections are estimates; completed-week scores are actuals.