
Should I start Khalil Shakir or Rome Odunze this week? Week 9 PPR (2026)
THE FF CALL
Start Rome Odunze
+1.8 projected edge ยท PPR
Start Rome Odunze over Khalil Shakir for Week 9 PPR: 10.7 projected points versus 8.9.
- Khalil Shakir: 12.4 FP recent scoring average; 6.25% matchup reduction against MIN.
- Rome Odunze: 10.2 FP recent scoring average; 2.5% matchup reduction against TB.
Forecast updated ยท PPR



Khalil Shakir
WR ยท BUFStats & schedule โบWhy this pick?
Rome Odunze
Rome Odunze faces TB in Week 9. Recent scoring average: 10.2 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 2.5%.
Khalil Shakir
Khalil Shakir faces MIN in Week 9. Recent scoring average: 12.4 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 6.25%.
THE MATCHUP, IN CONTEXT
What separates Khalil Shakir and Rome Odunze?
Rome Odunze holds a 1.8 FP projected edge over Khalil Shakir. Read that as an expected-points preference, not a promise that he will finish higher.
ESPN, Sleeper, FantasyPros project Rome Odunze higher. Agreement across these available estimates is supporting context; the models can share inputs and are not independent confirmations.
Khalil Shakir
Khalil Shakir has a 8.9 FP forecast in PPR at MIN. His recorded recent scoring average is 12.4 FP, putting this forecast 3.5 points below that average. The position-specific defensive adjustment reduces the FF estimate by 6.25%; it is already included in the projection.
Rome Odunze
Rome Odunze has a 10.7 FP forecast in PPR against TB. His recorded recent scoring average is 10.2 FP, putting this forecast 0.5 points above that average. The position-specific defensive adjustment reduces the FF estimate by 2.5%; it is already included in the projection.
Compare the saved forecasts side by side
| Source | Khalil Shakir | Rome Odunze | Projected edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| ESPN | 9.2 FP | 10.1 FP | Rome Odunze +0.9 |
| Sleeper | 9.1 FP | 11.6 FP | Rome Odunze +2.4 |
| FantasyPros | 9.0 FP | 10.7 FP | Rome Odunze +1.7 |
Before the first kickoff. Khalil Shakir: Mon 8:15 PM ET. Rome Odunze: Sun 8:20 PM ET. If a questionable player has the later kickoff, keep an eligible later-game replacement available. Where your league allows it, putting a later-game starter in FLEX can preserve swap options.
Your next decision
Scoring & lineup notes
FORTIFIED RANKINGS ยท ยท WEEK 9 ยท PPR
WR. The bigger picture.
Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.
- 1
Jaxon Smith-NjigbaWR ยท SEA vs ARISun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 25.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 22.5Sleeper 24.5FantasyPros 23.625.2Expected FP - 2
Puka NacuaWR ยท LAR vs WASSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 24.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 24.1Sleeper 23.0FantasyPros 24.024.5Expected FP - 3
CeeDee LambWR ยท DAL vs INDSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 21.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 20.3Sleeper 20.3FantasyPros 20.021.2Expected FP
How the forecast and ranges work
FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.
Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10โP90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.
Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.
YOUR LINEUP ยท A CLOSER LOOK
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Rome Odunze10.7projected FP
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Tre Tucker10.9projected FP
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Jordan Addison10.5projected FP
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Josh Downs11.0projected FP
Jaxon Smith-Njigba25.2projected FP
Puka Nacua24.5projected FP
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CeeDee Lamb21.2projected FP
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Ja'Marr Chase20.6projected FP
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Tee Higgins20.5projected FP
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Amon-Ra St. Brown20.1projected FP
Amon-Ra St. Brown20.1projected FP
Malik Nabers19.2projected FP
Khalil Shakir
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Kyle Pitts Sr.