
Should I start Keenan Allen or Rome Odunze this week? Week 9 PPR (2026)
THE FF CALL
Slight lean: Keenan Allen
+0.7 projected edge ยท PPR
Start Keenan Allen over Rome Odunze for Week 9 PPR: 11.4 projected points versus 10.7.
- Keenan Allen: 12.0 FP recent scoring average; 2.5% matchup lift against DAL.
- Rome Odunze: 10.2 FP recent scoring average; 2.5% matchup reduction against TB.
Forecast updated ยท PPR



Rome Odunze
WR ยท CHIStats & schedule โบWhy this pick?
Keenan Allen
Keenan Allen faces DAL in Week 9. Recent scoring average: 12.0 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast up 2.5%.
Rome Odunze
Rome Odunze faces TB in Week 9. Recent scoring average: 10.2 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 2.5%.
THE MATCHUP, IN CONTEXT
What separates Keenan Allen and Rome Odunze?
Keenan Allen holds a 0.7 FP projected edge over Rome Odunze. Read that as an expected-points preference, not a promise that he will finish higher.
The available estimates disagree: ESPN, FantasyPros lean toward Keenan Allen, while Sleeper leans toward Rome Odunze. That disagreement is a reason to examine the matchup and availability rather than count providers as votes.
Keenan Allen
Keenan Allen has a 11.4 FP forecast in PPR against DAL. His recorded recent scoring average is 12.0 FP, putting this forecast 0.6 points below that average. The position-specific defensive adjustment raises the FF estimate by 2.5%; it is already included in the projection.
Rome Odunze
Rome Odunze has a 10.7 FP forecast in PPR against TB. His recorded recent scoring average is 10.2 FP, putting this forecast 0.5 points above that average. The position-specific defensive adjustment reduces the FF estimate by 2.5%; it is already included in the projection.
Compare the saved forecasts side by side
| Source | Keenan Allen | Rome Odunze | Projected edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| ESPN | 10.2 FP | 10.1 FP | Keenan Allen +0.1 |
| Sleeper | 11.3 FP | 11.6 FP | Rome Odunze +0.2 |
| FantasyPros | 10.8 FP | 10.7 FP | Keenan Allen +0.2 |
Before the first kickoff. Keenan Allen: Sun 1:00 PM ET. Rome Odunze: Sun 8:20 PM ET. If a questionable player has the later kickoff, keep an eligible later-game replacement available. Where your league allows it, putting a later-game starter in FLEX can preserve swap options.
Your next decision
Scoring & lineup notes
FORTIFIED RANKINGS ยท ยท WEEK 9 ยท PPR
WR. The bigger picture.
Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.
- 1
Jaxon Smith-NjigbaWR ยท SEA vs ARISun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 25.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 22.5Sleeper 24.5FantasyPros 23.625.2Expected FP - 2
Puka NacuaWR ยท LAR vs WASSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 24.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 24.1Sleeper 23.0FantasyPros 24.024.5Expected FP - 3
CeeDee LambWR ยท DAL vs INDSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 21.1Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 20.3Sleeper 20.2FantasyPros 20.021.1Expected FP
How the forecast and ranges work
FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.
Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10โP90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.
Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.
YOUR LINEUP ยท A CLOSER LOOK
More decisions involving your players
More Week 9 decisions
Keenan Allen11.4projected FP
Tetairoa McMillan13.2projected FP
Keenan Allen11.4projected FP
Caleb Douglas11.4projected FP
Keenan Allen11.4projected FP
Malik Washington11.4projected FP
Keenan Allen11.4projected FP
Deebo Samuel Sr.11.4projected FP
Jaxon Smith-Njigba25.2projected FP
Puka Nacua24.5projected FP
Puka Nacua24.5projected FP
CeeDee Lamb21.1projected FP
CeeDee Lamb21.1projected FP
Ja'Marr Chase20.6projected FP
Ja'Marr Chase20.6projected FP
Tee Higgins20.5projected FP
Tee Higgins20.5projected FP
Amon-Ra St. Brown20.1projected FP
Amon-Ra St. Brown20.1projected FP
Malik Nabers19.2projected FP
Braelon Allen
Kyle Pitts Sr.
Rome Odunze