Fortified Fantasy

Week 92026 ยท PPR ยท THIS WEEK

Should I start Jordan Love or Patrick Mahomes II this week? Week 9 PPR (2026)

THE FF CALL

Start Patrick Mahomes II

+3.1 projected edge ยท PPR

Start Patrick Mahomes II over Jordan Love for Week 9 PPR: 19.8 projected points versus 16.6.

  • Jordan Love: 19.6 FP recent scoring average.
  • Patrick Mahomes II: 14.0 FP recent scoring average.

Forecast updated ยท PPR

Patrick Mahomes II
Why this pick?

Patrick Mahomes II

Fortified19.8
ESPN18.2
Sleeper21.1
FantasyPros20.0

Patrick Mahomes II faces NYJ in Week 9. Recent scoring average: 14.0 fantasy points.

Jordan Love

Fortified16.6
ESPN17.0
Sleeper16.9
FantasyPros17.1

Jordan Love faces NE in Week 9. Recent scoring average: 19.6 fantasy points.

Patrick Mahomes II projects for 19.8 points in PPR scoring, 3.1 more than Jordan Love. This is a projection-based recommendation, not a guarantee. Verify the latest injury report and active status before kickoff.

Updated Nov 4, 2026, 11:58 AM ET. Projections can change before kickoff.

Your next decision

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FEATURED ยท YOUR NEXT MOVE

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Scoring & lineup notes

PPR awards one point per reception; half-PPR awards 0.5; standard awards none. Custom league rules can change the result. Confirm active status, kickoff and lineup locks. Projections are estimates; completed-week scores are actuals.

FORTIFIED RANKINGS ยท ยท WEEK 9 ยท PPR

QB. The bigger picture.

Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.

FF expected pointsMedian ยท when availableWindow: experimental middle 80%โ— ESPNโ— Sleeperโ— FantasyPros
3 shown ยท common FP scale
19.423.4
FF MEAN
  1. 1
    Joe BurrowQB ยท CIN vs ATLSun 9:30 AM ETRange unavailable
    23.4Expected FP
  2. 2
    Brock PurdyQB ยท SF vs LVSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
    22.6Expected FP
  3. 3
    Jared GoffQB ยท DET vs MIASun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    20.9Expected FP
How the forecast and ranges work

FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.

Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10โ€“P90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.

Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.

See full QB rankings โ†—

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Still need a replacement?

Waiver timing varies by league. Check your deadline before placing a claim.

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