Should I start Jonnu Smith or Mitchell Evans this week? Week 8 PPR (2026)

THE RESEARCH PICK

Start Mitchell Evans

Week 8 · PPR

Mitchell Evans averaged 1.7 targets per game across the last 3 recorded games, compared with 0.3 for Jonnu Smith. More opportunities provide another route to fantasy points. Recent scoring favors Mitchell Evans: 3.0 versus 0.6 FP per game.

Forecast updated Oct 28, 2026, 1:11 AM ET · PPR

THE ALTERNATIVE

Jonnu Smith

TE · GBStats & schedule

2.0FF projected

↑ +0.3 vs ESPN

vs CAR

Thu 8:15 PM ET

RESEARCH PICK

Mitchell Evans

TE · CARStats & schedule

2.3FF projected

↓ -0.6 vs ESPN

at GB

Thu 8:15 PM ET

Experimental research pick, not a proven win probability. This does not change either FF projection.

Jonnu Smith

FF2.0 FP

Boosted Trees2.2 FP

Workload1.1 FP

Monte Carlo1.5 FP

Middle 80% scoring range: -1.7–5.3 FP

His prior three-game scoring average was 0.0 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 0.4 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
Recent scoring average: 0.6 FP.
The saved workload scenario allocates 0.7 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
Return scenarios include Matthew Golden; their availability can redistribute the workload.
Last 3 recorded games: 0.3 targets per game.

Mitchell Evans

FF2.3 FP

Boosted Trees2.7 FP

Workload2.8 FP

Monte Carlo2.9 FP

Middle 80% scoring range: -0.3–6.7 FP

His prior three-game scoring average was 0.1 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate up 0.1 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
Recent scoring average: 3.0 FP.
The GB defensive matchup changes the FF estimate down 8.75%.
The saved workload scenario allocates 1.5 targets and 0.2 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
Return scenarios include Jalen Coker; their availability can redistribute the workload.
Last 3 recorded games: 1.7 targets per game.

Experimental models are research signals, not a validated tiebreaker yet. Missing saved results stay blank. No simulations or training were run for this request.

Jonnu Smith

Fortified2.0

ESPN1.8

Sleeper2.0

FantasyPros2.4

Jonnu Smith faces CAR in Week 8. Recent scoring average: 0.6 fantasy points.

Mitchell Evans

Fortified2.3

ESPN2.9

Sleeper1.8

FantasyPros2.6

Mitchell Evans faces GB in Week 8. Recent scoring average: 3.0 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 8.75%.

Mitchell Evans projects for 2.3 points in PPR scoring, 0.3 more than Jonnu Smith. The gap is small; late injury news or your league’s scoring can change the choice.

Updated Oct 28, 2026, 1:11 AM ET. Projections can change before kickoff.

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Scoring & lineup notes

PPR awards one point per reception; half-PPR awards 0.5; standard awards none. Custom league rules can change the result. Confirm active status, kickoff and lineup locks. Projections are estimates; completed-week scores are actuals.