
Should I start Jake Ferguson or Savion Williams this week? Week 7 PPR (2026)
THE RESEARCH PICK
Start Savion Williams
Week 7 ยท PPR
Recent scoring favors Savion Williams: 8.1 versus 4.1 FP per game. Savion Williams receives the better positional matchup adjustment (8.75% versus 0%).
Forecast updated ยท PPR

THE ALTERNATIVE

6.4FF projected
โ +0.5 vs ESPN
Mon 8:15 PM ET
RESEARCH PICK

Savion Williams
WR ยท GBStats & schedule โบ6.5FF projected
โ -1.4 vs ESPN
Sun 4:25 PM ET
Jake Ferguson
FF6.4 FP
Boosted Trees6.3 FP
Workload5.3 FP
Monte Carlo5.4 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 4.1 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 0.4 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 4.1 FP.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 3.6 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Last 3 recorded games: 4.3 targets per game.
Savion Williams
FF6.5 FP
Boosted Trees7.4 FP
Workload8.2 FP
Monte Carlo7.9 FP
- Recent scoring average: 8.1 FP.
- The DET defensive matchup changes the FF estimate up 8.75%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 4.4 targets and 0.6 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Bo Melton; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 1 recorded games: 4.0 targets per game.
Projection breakdown
Jake Ferguson
Fortified6.4
ESPN5.9
Sleeper7.8
FantasyProsโ
Jake Ferguson faces PHI in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 4.1 fantasy points.
Savion Williams
Fortified6.5
ESPN7.9
Sleeper2.5
FantasyProsโ
Savion Williams faces DET in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 8.1 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast up 8.75%.
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