THE ALTERNATIVE
Elijah Higgins
TE ยท ARIStats & schedule โบ4.1FF projected
โ +0.1 vs ESPN
vs DENSun 4:05 PM ET
Should I start Elijah Higgins or Marvin Mims Jr. this week? Week 7 PPR (2026)
THE RESEARCH PICK
Start Marvin Mims Jr.
Week 7 ยท PPR
Marvin Mims Jr. averaged 3.0 targets per game across the last 3 recorded games, compared with 2.7 for Elijah Higgins. More opportunities provide another route to fantasy points.
Forecast updated ยท PPR
vs DENRESEARCH PICK
Marvin Mims Jr.
WR ยท DENStats & schedule โบ4.5FF projected
โ -0.9 vs ESPN
at ARISun 4:05 PM ET
Elijah Higgins
FF4.1 FP
Boosted Trees3.9 FP
Workload4.6 FP
Monte Carlo4.6 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 8.1 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 0.9 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 8.1 FP.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 2.4 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Carson Beck; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 3 recorded games: 2.7 targets per game.
Marvin Mims Jr.
FF4.5 FP
Boosted Trees5.1 FP
Workload5.2 FP
Monte Carlo5.2 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 2.1 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate up 0.1 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 2.1 FP.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 3.0 targets and 0.3 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Jonah Coleman; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 3 recorded games: 3.0 targets per game.
Projection breakdown
Elijah Higgins
Fortified4.1
ESPN4.0
Sleeper1.8
FantasyProsโ
Elijah Higgins faces DEN in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 8.1 fantasy points.
Marvin Mims Jr.
Fortified4.5
ESPN5.3
Sleeper4.8
FantasyProsโ
Marvin Mims Jr. faces ARI in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 2.1 fantasy points.
Actuals, projections & playoff outlook
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