
Should I start DeVonta Smith or Mark Redman this week? Week 7 PPR (2026)
THE RESEARCH PICK
Start DeVonta Smith
Week 7 ยท PPR
DeVonta Smith averaged 11.7 targets per game across the last 3 recorded games, compared with 0.7 for Mark Redman. More opportunities provide another route to fantasy points. Recent scoring favors DeVonta Smith: 20.5 versus 1.6 FP per game.
Forecast updated ยท PPR

RESEARCH PICK

0.0FF projected
= 0.0 vs ESPN
Mon 8:15 PM ET
THE ALTERNATIVE

Mark Redman
TE ยท GBStats & schedule โบ0.4FF projected
โ -0.2 vs ESPN
Sun 4:25 PM ET
DeVonta Smith
FF0.0 FP
Boosted Trees16.8 FP
Workload0.0 FP
Monte Carloโ FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 20.5 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 0.6 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 20.5 FP.
- The DAL defensive matchup changes the FF estimate up 3.75%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 0.0 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Saquon Barkley, Grant Calcaterra, Eli Stowers; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- OUT
- Last 3 recorded games: 11.7 targets per game.
Mark Redman
FF0.4 FP
Boosted Trees1.6 FP
Workload0.9 FP
Monte Carlo1.0 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 0.0 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate up 0.1 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 1.6 FP.
- The DET defensive matchup changes the FF estimate up 10%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 0.5 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Bo Melton; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 3 recorded games: 0.7 targets per game.
DeVonta Smith
Fortified0.0
ESPN0.0
Sleeper0.0
FantasyProsโ
DeVonta Smith faces DAL in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 20.5 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast up 3.75%. OUT
Mark Redman
Fortified0.4
ESPN0.6
Sleeper0.0
FantasyProsโ
Mark Redman faces DET in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 1.6 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast up 10%.
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