
Should I start DeVonta Smith or Jared Wayne this week? Week 7 PPR (2026)
THE RESEARCH PICK
Start DeVonta Smith
Week 7 ยท PPR
DeVonta Smith averaged 11.7 targets per game across the last 3 recorded games, compared with 1.3 for Jared Wayne. More opportunities provide another route to fantasy points. Recent scoring favors DeVonta Smith: 20.5 versus 0.0 FP per game. DeVonta Smith receives the better positional matchup adjustment (3.75% versus 0%).
Forecast updated ยท PPR

RESEARCH PICK

0.0FF projected
= 0.0 vs ESPN
Mon 8:15 PM ET
THE ALTERNATIVE

Jared Wayne
WR ยท MIAStats & schedule โบ0.5FF projected
โ +0.5 vs ESPN
Sun 1:00 PM ET
DeVonta Smith
FF0.0 FP
Boosted Trees16.8 FP
Workload0.0 FP
Monte Carloโ FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 20.5 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 0.6 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 20.5 FP.
- The DAL defensive matchup changes the FF estimate up 3.75%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 0.0 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Saquon Barkley, Grant Calcaterra, Eli Stowers; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- OUT
- Last 3 recorded games: 11.7 targets per game.
Jared Wayne
FF0.5 FP
Boosted Trees-0.5 FP
Workload0.8 FP
Monte Carlo0.8 FP
- Recent scoring average: 0.0 FP.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 0.6 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Last 3 recorded games: 1.3 targets per game.
DeVonta Smith
Fortified0.0
ESPN0.0
Sleeper0.0
FantasyProsโ
DeVonta Smith faces DAL in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 20.5 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast up 3.75%. OUT
Jared Wayne
Fortified0.5
ESPN0.0
Sleeper1.1
FantasyProsโ
Jared Wayne faces NYJ in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 0.0 fantasy points.
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