THE ALTERNATIVE
Deion Burks
WR ยท INDStats & schedule โบ0.9FF projected
โ +0.9 vs ESPN
at MINSun 1:00 PM ET
Should I start Deion Burks or Mitch Tinsley this week? Week 7 PPR (2026)
THE RESEARCH PICK
Start Mitch Tinsley
Week 7 ยท PPR
Mitch Tinsley averaged 3.5 targets per game across the last 2 recorded games, compared with 2.0 for Deion Burks. More opportunities provide another route to fantasy points. Recent scoring favors Mitch Tinsley: 4.0 versus 2.8 FP per game. Mitch Tinsley receives the better positional matchup adjustment (0% versus -3.75%).
Forecast updated ยท PPR
at MINRESEARCH PICK
Mitch Tinsley
WR ยท CINStats & schedule โบ1.2FF projected
โ +1.2 vs ESPN
at BALSun 1:00 PM ET
Deion Burks
FF0.9 FP
Boosted Trees-1.1 FP
Workload1.3 FP
Monte Carlo1.4 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 2.8 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 0.6 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 2.8 FP.
- The MIN defensive matchup changes the FF estimate down 3.75%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 0.9 targets and 0.2 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Last 3 recorded games: 2.0 targets per game.
Mitch Tinsley
FF1.2 FP
Boosted Trees-1.1 FP
Workload2.2 FP
Monte Carlo2.1 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 4.0 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 0.6 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 4.0 FP.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 1.4 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Last 2 recorded games: 3.5 targets per game.
Projection breakdown
Deion Burks
Fortified0.9
ESPN0.0
Sleeper1.2
FantasyProsโ
Deion Burks faces MIN in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 2.8 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 3.75%.
Mitch Tinsley
Fortified1.2
ESPN0.0
Sleeper1.1
FantasyProsโ
Mitch Tinsley faces BAL in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 4.0 fantasy points.
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