THE ALTERNATIVE
Deebo Samuel Sr.
WR · SFStats & schedule ›0.0FF projected
= 0.0 vs ESPN
at ATLSun 1:00 PM ET
Should I start Deebo Samuel Sr. or DeVonta Smith this week? Week 7 PPR (2026)
THE RESEARCH PICK
Start DeVonta Smith
Week 7 · PPR
DeVonta Smith averaged 11.7 targets per game across the last 3 recorded games, compared with 3.0 for Deebo Samuel Sr.. More opportunities provide another route to fantasy points. Recent scoring favors DeVonta Smith: 20.5 versus 10.3 FP per game. DeVonta Smith receives the better positional matchup adjustment (3.75% versus 2.5%).
Forecast updated · PPR
at ATLRESEARCH PICK
DeVonta Smith
WR · PHIStats & schedule ›0.0FF projected
= 0.0 vs ESPN
vs DALMon 8:15 PM ET
Deebo Samuel Sr.
FF0.0 FP
Boosted Trees0.0 FP
Workload0.0 FP
Monte Carlo0.0 FP
- Recent scoring average: 10.3 FP.
- The ATL defensive matchup changes the FF estimate up 2.5%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 0.0 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- OUT
- Last 3 recorded games: 3.0 targets per game.
DeVonta Smith
FF0.0 FP
Boosted Trees16.8 FP
Workload0.0 FP
Monte Carlo— FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 20.5 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 0.6 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 20.5 FP.
- The DAL defensive matchup changes the FF estimate up 3.75%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 0.0 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Saquon Barkley, Grant Calcaterra, Eli Stowers; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- OUT
- Last 3 recorded games: 11.7 targets per game.
Deebo Samuel Sr.
Fortified0.0
ESPN0.0
Sleeper0.0
FantasyPros—
Deebo Samuel Sr. faces ATL in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 10.3 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast up 2.5%. OUT
DeVonta Smith
Fortified0.0
ESPN0.0
Sleeper0.0
FantasyPros—
DeVonta Smith faces DAL in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 20.5 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast up 3.75%. OUT
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