RESEARCH PICK
Davis Allen
TE ยท LARStats & schedule โบ2.7FF projected
= 0.0 vs ESPN
at LVSun 4:25 PM ET
Should I start Davis Allen or Drew Sample this week? Week 7 PPR (2026)
THE RESEARCH PICK
Start Davis Allen
Week 7 ยท PPR
Davis Allen averaged 1.3 targets per game across the last 3 recorded games, compared with 1.0 for Drew Sample. More opportunities provide another route to fantasy points. Recent scoring favors Davis Allen: 1.5 versus 0.8 FP per game. Davis Allen receives the better positional matchup adjustment (2.5% versus 0%).
Forecast updated ยท PPR
at LVTHE ALTERNATIVE
Drew Sample
TE ยท CINStats & schedule โบ2.4FF projected
= 0.0 vs ESPN
at BALSun 1:00 PM ET
Davis Allen
FF2.7 FP
Boosted Trees3.7 FP
Workload2.4 FP
Monte Carlo2.3 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 1.5 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate up 0.1 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 1.5 FP.
- The LV defensive matchup changes the FF estimate up 2.5%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 1.3 targets and 0.2 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Puka Nacua; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 3 recorded games: 1.3 targets per game.
Drew Sample
FF2.4 FP
Boosted Trees2.9 FP
Workload2.0 FP
Monte Carlo2.1 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 0.8 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 0.4 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 0.8 FP.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 1.2 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Last 3 recorded games: 1.0 targets per game.
Projection breakdown
Davis Allen
Fortified2.7
ESPN2.7
Sleeper2.7
FantasyProsโ
Davis Allen faces LV in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 1.5 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast up 2.5%.
Drew Sample
Fortified2.4
ESPN2.4
Sleeper3.0
FantasyProsโ
Drew Sample faces BAL in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 0.8 fantasy points.
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