THE ALTERNATIVE
Courtland Sutton
WR ยท DENStats & schedule โบ8.3FF projected
โ -0.6 vs ESPN
at ARISun 4:05 PM ET
Should I start Courtland Sutton or Josh Downs this week? Week 7 PPR (2026)
THE RESEARCH PICK
Start Josh Downs
Week 7 ยท PPR
Josh Downs averaged 6.0 targets per game across the last 3 recorded games, compared with 4.0 for Courtland Sutton. More opportunities provide another route to fantasy points. Recent scoring favors Josh Downs: 7.0 versus 5.0 FP per game.
Forecast updated ยท PPR
at ARIRESEARCH PICK
Josh Downs
WR ยท INDStats & schedule โบ8.6FF projected
โ +0.2 vs ESPN
at MINSun 1:00 PM ET
Courtland Sutton
FF8.3 FP
Boosted Trees8.6 FP
Workload6.5 FP
Monte Carlo6.5 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 5.0 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate up 0.1 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 5.0 FP.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 4.7 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Jonah Coleman; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 3 recorded games: 4.0 targets per game.
Josh Downs
FF8.6 FP
Boosted Trees7.9 FP
Workload7.7 FP
Monte Carlo7.6 FP
- Recent scoring average: 7.0 FP.
- The MIN defensive matchup changes the FF estimate down 3.75%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 5.7 targets and 0.2 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Last 3 recorded games: 6.0 targets per game.
Projection breakdown
Courtland Sutton
Fortified8.3
ESPN8.9
Sleeper9.0
FantasyProsโ
Courtland Sutton faces ARI in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 5.0 fantasy points.
Josh Downs
Fortified8.6
ESPN8.4
Sleeper9.2
FantasyProsโ
Josh Downs faces MIN in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 7.0 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 3.75%.
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