
Should I start Courtland Sutton or Omarion Hampton this week? Week 9 PPR (2026)
THE FF CALL
Slight lean: Courtland Sutton
Week 9 ยท PPR
Courtland Sutton has the higher current FF forecast: 9.0 FP versus 8.9 FP. The 0.1-point gap is small; saved experimental forecasts provide context, not a separate override.
Forecast updated ยท PPR



Omarion Hampton
RB ยท LACStats & schedule โบCourtland Sutton
- Recent scoring average: 6.9 FP.
- Last 3 recorded games: 4.0 targets per game.
Omarion Hampton
- Recent scoring average: 6.3 FP.
- Last 3 recorded games: 10.0 carries per game.
Courtland Sutton
Courtland Sutton faces CAR in Week 9. Recent scoring average: 6.9 fantasy points.
Omarion Hampton
Omarion Hampton faces HOU in Week 9. Recent scoring average: 6.3 fantasy points.
THE MATCHUP, IN CONTEXT
What separates Courtland Sutton and Omarion Hampton?
Courtland Sutton and Omarion Hampton are separated by 0.1 projected FP. That margin is too small to treat the FF order as a decisive advantage. The FF pick above follows the same expected-points and displayed-tie policy as Fortified Rankings; the saved source comparison below provides supporting context.
The available estimates disagree: ESPN leans toward Courtland Sutton, while Sleeper, FantasyPros lean toward Omarion Hampton. That disagreement is a reason to examine the matchup and availability rather than count providers as votes.
Courtland Sutton
Courtland Sutton has a 9.0 FP forecast in PPR at CAR. His recorded recent scoring average is 6.9 FP, putting this forecast 2.1 points above that average.
Omarion Hampton
Omarion Hampton has a 8.9 FP forecast in PPR against HOU. His recorded recent scoring average is 6.3 FP, putting this forecast 2.6 points above that average.
Compare the saved forecasts side by side
| Source | Courtland Sutton | Omarion Hampton | Projected edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| ESPN | 8.9 FP | 8.8 FP | Courtland Sutton +0.1 |
| Sleeper | 7.8 FP | 9.5 FP | Omarion Hampton +1.7 |
| FantasyPros | 9.1 FP | 9.5 FP | Omarion Hampton +0.4 |
Before the first kickoff. Courtland Sutton: Sun 1:00 PM ET. Omarion Hampton: Sun 4:05 PM ET. If a questionable player has the later kickoff, keep an eligible later-game replacement available. Where your league allows it, putting a later-game starter in FLEX can preserve swap options.
Your next decision
Scoring & lineup notes
FORTIFIED RANKINGS ยท ยท WEEK 9 ยท PPR
FLEX. The bigger picture.
Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.
- 1
Jahmyr GibbsRB ยท DET vs MIASun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 28.0Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 26.5Sleeper 25.7FantasyPros 26.328.0Expected FP - 2
Jaxon Smith-NjigbaWR ยท SEA vs ARISun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 25.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 22.5Sleeper 24.5FantasyPros 23.625.2Expected FP - 3
Puka NacuaWR ยท LAR vs WASSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 24.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 24.1Sleeper 23.0FantasyPros 24.024.5Expected FP
How the forecast and ranges work
FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.
Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10โP90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.
Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.
YOUR LINEUP ยท A CLOSER LOOK
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Courtland Sutton9.0projected FP
Rome Odunze10.7projected FP
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Omar Cooper Jr.9.0projected FP
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Khalil Shakir8.9projected FP
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Makai Lemon8.8projected FP
Christian McCaffrey22.4projected FP
Kenneth Walker III22.3projected FP
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Jonathan Taylor20.7projected FP
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Bijan Robinson19.9projected FP
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Kyren Williams18.0projected FP
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Javonte Williams17.8projected FP
Javonte Williams17.8projected FP
Chuba Hubbard17.1projected FP
Hunter Henry
Omarion Hampton
Aaron Jones Sr.