THE ALTERNATIVE
Chris Godwin Jr.
WR ยท TBStats & schedule โบ11.1FF projected
= 0.0 vs ESPN
at CARSun 1:00 PM ET
Should I start Chris Godwin Jr. or Tony Pollard this week? Week 7 PPR (2026)
THE RESEARCH PICK
Start Tony Pollard
Week 7 ยท PPR
Recent scoring favors Tony Pollard: 8.6 versus 7.9 FP per game.
Forecast updated ยท PPR
at CARRESEARCH PICK
Tony Pollard
RB ยท TENStats & schedule โบ11.5FF projected
โ -1.9 vs ESPN
vs CLESun 1:00 PM ET
Chris Godwin Jr.
FF11.1 FP
Boosted Trees10.8 FP
Workload13.6 FP
Monte Carlo13.5 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 7.9 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate up 0.2 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 7.9 FP.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 8.0 targets and 0.4 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Baker Mayfield; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 3 recorded games: 6.0 targets per game.
Tony Pollard
FF11.5 FP
Boosted Trees11.6 FP
Workload12.8 FP
Monte Carlo12.9 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 8.6 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 1.6 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 8.6 FP.
- The CLE defensive matchup changes the FF estimate down 8.75%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 2.0 targets and 20.1 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Calvin Ridley, Tyjae Spears; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 3 recorded games: 16.3 carries per game.
Projection breakdown
Chris Godwin Jr.
Fortified11.1
ESPN11.1
Sleeper11.4
FantasyProsโ
Chris Godwin Jr. faces CAR in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 7.9 fantasy points.
Tony Pollard
Fortified11.5
ESPN13.4
Sleeper11.9
FantasyProsโ
Tony Pollard faces CLE in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 8.6 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 8.75%.
Actuals, projections & playoff outlook
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