
Should I start Audric Estime or Ian Thomas this week? Week 7 PPR (2026)
THE RESEARCH PICK
Start Ian Thomas
Week 7 ยท PPR
The available paired forecasts favor Ian Thomas after combining their estimates. The saved inputs do not isolate a stronger football-specific advantage, so treat this as a narrow research lean.
Forecast updated ยท PPR

THE ALTERNATIVE

1.8FF projected
โ +1.8 vs ESPN
Sun 1:00 PM ET
RESEARCH PICK

Ian Thomas
TE ยท LVStats & schedule โบ1.4FF projected
โ +0.3 vs ESPN
Sun 4:25 PM ET
Audric Estime
FF1.8 FP
Boosted Trees-2.0 FP
Workload1.0 FP
Monte Carlo1.0 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 7.9 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 1.5 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 7.9 FP.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 0.0 targets and 2.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Last 1 recorded games: 9.0 carries per game.
Ian Thomas
FF1.4 FP
Boosted Trees1.1 FP
Workload1.4 FP
Monte Carlo1.5 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 4.4 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 0.9 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 4.4 FP.
- The LAR defensive matchup changes the FF estimate down 8.75%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 0.8 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Mike Washington Jr.; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 3 recorded games: 1.0 targets per game.
Projection breakdown
Audric Estime
Fortified1.8
ESPN0.0
Sleeper0.7
FantasyProsโ
Audric Estime faces TEN in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 7.9 fantasy points.
Ian Thomas
Fortified1.4
ESPN1.2
Sleeper0.6
FantasyProsโ
Ian Thomas faces LAR in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 4.4 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 8.75%.
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