
Should I start Antonio Williams or Omarion Hampton this week? Week 9 PPR (2026)
THE FF CALL
Slight lean: Omarion Hampton
+0.6 projected edge ยท PPR
Start Omarion Hampton over Antonio Williams for Week 9 PPR: 8.9 projected points versus 8.3.
- Antonio Williams: 9.2 FP recent scoring average; 3.75% matchup reduction against LAR.
- Omarion Hampton: 6.3 FP recent scoring average.
Forecast updated ยท PPR



Antonio Williams
WR ยท WASStats & schedule โบWhy this pick?
Omarion Hampton
Omarion Hampton faces HOU in Week 9. Recent scoring average: 6.3 fantasy points.
Antonio Williams
Antonio Williams faces LAR in Week 9. Recent scoring average: 9.2 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 3.75%.
THE MATCHUP, IN CONTEXT
What separates Antonio Williams and Omarion Hampton?
Omarion Hampton holds a 0.6 FP projected edge over Antonio Williams. Read that as an expected-points preference, not a promise that he will finish higher.
The available estimates disagree: ESPN leans toward Antonio Williams, while Sleeper, FantasyPros lean toward Omarion Hampton. That disagreement is a reason to examine the matchup and availability rather than count providers as votes.
Antonio Williams
Antonio Williams has a 8.3 FP forecast in PPR against LAR. His recorded recent scoring average is 9.2 FP, putting this forecast 0.9 points below that average. The position-specific defensive adjustment reduces the FF estimate by 3.75%; it is already included in the projection.
Omarion Hampton
Omarion Hampton has a 8.9 FP forecast in PPR against HOU. His recorded recent scoring average is 6.3 FP, putting this forecast 2.6 points above that average.
Compare the saved forecasts side by side
| Source | Antonio Williams | Omarion Hampton | Projected edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| ESPN | 9.3 FP | 8.8 FP | Antonio Williams +0.5 |
| Sleeper | 7.4 FP | 9.5 FP | Omarion Hampton +2.1 |
| FantasyPros | 8.8 FP | 9.5 FP | Omarion Hampton +0.7 |
Before the first kickoff. Antonio Williams: Sun 1:00 PM ET. Omarion Hampton: Sun 4:05 PM ET. If a questionable player has the later kickoff, keep an eligible later-game replacement available. Where your league allows it, putting a later-game starter in FLEX can preserve swap options.
Your next decision
Scoring & lineup notes
FORTIFIED RANKINGS ยท ยท WEEK 9 ยท PPR
FLEX. The bigger picture.
Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.
- 1
Jahmyr GibbsRB ยท DET vs MIASun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 28.0Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 26.5Sleeper 25.7FantasyPros 26.328.0Expected FP - 2
Jaxon Smith-NjigbaWR ยท SEA vs ARISun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 25.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 22.5Sleeper 24.5FantasyPros 23.625.2Expected FP - 3
Puka NacuaWR ยท LAR vs WASSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 24.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 24.1Sleeper 23.0FantasyPros 24.024.5Expected FP
How the forecast and ranges work
FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.
Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10โP90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.
Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.
YOUR LINEUP ยท A CLOSER LOOK
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