THE ALTERNATIVE
AJ Barner
TE · SEAStats & schedule ›7.4FF projected
= 0.0 vs ESPN
vs KCSun 8:20 PM ET
Should I start AJ Barner or Colby Parkinson this week? Week 7 PPR (2026)
THE RESEARCH PICK
Start Colby Parkinson
Week 7 · PPR
Recent scoring favors Colby Parkinson: 7.7 versus 3.9 FP per game.
Forecast updated · PPR
vs KCRESEARCH PICK
Colby Parkinson
TE · LARStats & schedule ›7.7FF projected
↓ -0.4 vs ESPN
at LVSun 4:25 PM ET
AJ Barner
FF7.4 FP
Boosted Trees7.8 FP
Workload6.3 FP
Monte Carlo6.1 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 3.9 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 0.3 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 3.9 FP.
- The KC defensive matchup changes the FF estimate up 7.5%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 4.2 targets and 0.1 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Drew Lock; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 3 recorded games: 4.0 targets per game.
Colby Parkinson
FF7.7 FP
Boosted Trees10.5 FP
Workload5.7 FP
Monte Carlo5.8 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 7.7 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate up 0.3 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 7.7 FP.
- The LV defensive matchup changes the FF estimate up 2.5%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 3.5 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Puka Nacua; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 3 recorded games: 3.0 targets per game.
AJ Barner
Fortified7.4
ESPN7.4
Sleeper7.8
FantasyPros—
AJ Barner faces KC in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 3.9 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast up 7.5%.
Colby Parkinson
Fortified7.7
ESPN8.2
Sleeper6.8
FantasyPros—
Colby Parkinson faces LV in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 7.7 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast up 2.5%.
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