RESEARCH PICK
Aaron Jones Sr.
RB ยท MINStats & schedule โบ14.0FF projected
โ +1.7 vs ESPN
vs INDSun 1:00 PM ET
Should I start Aaron Jones Sr. or Tucker Kraft this week? Week 7 PPR (2026)
THE RESEARCH PICK
Start Aaron Jones Sr.
Week 7 ยท PPR
Recent scoring favors Aaron Jones Sr.: 17.8 versus 12.3 FP per game.
Forecast updated ยท PPR
vs INDTHE ALTERNATIVE
Tucker Kraft
TE ยท GBStats & schedule โบ13.6FF projected
โ +1.4 vs ESPN
at DETSun 4:25 PM ET
Aaron Jones Sr.
FF14.0 FP
Boosted Trees10.6 FP
Workload14.5 FP
Monte Carlo15.7 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 17.8 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 1.5 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 17.8 FP.
- The IND defensive matchup changes the FF estimate up 2.5%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 4.5 targets and 12.7 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Last 3 recorded games: 20.7 carries per game.
Tucker Kraft
FF13.6 FP
Boosted Trees11.5 FP
Workload11.6 FP
Monte Carlo12.2 FP
- Recent scoring average: 12.3 FP.
- The DET defensive matchup changes the FF estimate up 10%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 6.7 targets and 0.4 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Bo Melton; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 3 recorded games: 6.7 targets per game.
Projection breakdown
Aaron Jones Sr.
Fortified14.0
ESPN12.3
Sleeper12.7
FantasyProsโ
Aaron Jones Sr. faces IND in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 17.8 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast up 2.5%.
Tucker Kraft
Fortified13.6
ESPN12.2
Sleeper11.8
FantasyProsโ
Tucker Kraft faces DET in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 12.3 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast up 10%.
Actuals, projections & playoff outlook
Your next decision
SEE THE WHOLE SEASON
Donโt just win Sunday.
Win whatโs next.
Your roster. Every week.
A plan for the playoffs.
WEEK 7PLAYOFFS โ
Build my Game Plan Your team. Your leagueโs rules.
