THE ALTERNATIVE
Tyjae Spears
RB ยท TENStats & schedule โบ4.6FF projected
โ -0.8 vs ESPN
vs CLESun 1:00 PM ET
Should I start Tyjae Spears or Will Mallory this week? Week 7 Half-PPR (2026)
THE RESEARCH PICK
Start Will Mallory
Week 7 ยท Half-PPR
Recent scoring favors Will Mallory: 3.0 versus 2.6 FP per game.
Forecast updated ยท Half-PPR
vs CLERESEARCH PICK
Will Mallory
TE ยท INDStats & schedule โบ4.3FF projected
โ -1.6 vs ESPN
at MINSun 1:00 PM ET
Tyjae Spears
FF4.6 FP
Boosted Trees4.6 FP
Workload5.4 FP
Monte Carlo5.3 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 2.6 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 0.4 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 2.6 FP.
- The CLE defensive matchup changes the FF estimate down 8.75%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 3.1 targets and 3.6 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Calvin Ridley, Tyjae Spears; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 3 recorded games: 1.7 carries per game.
Will Mallory
FF4.3 FP
Boosted Trees6.4 FP
Workload4.7 FP
Monte Carlo4.7 FP
- Recent scoring average: 3.0 FP.
- The MIN defensive matchup changes the FF estimate down 10%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 5.0 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Last 1 recorded games: 6.0 targets per game.
Projection breakdown
Tyjae Spears
Fortified4.6
ESPN5.5
Sleeper6.1
FantasyProsโ
Tyjae Spears faces CLE in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 2.6 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 8.75%.
Will Mallory
Fortified4.3
ESPN5.9
Sleeper4.1
FantasyProsโ
Will Mallory faces MIN in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 3.0 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 10%.
Actuals, projections & playoff outlook
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