THE ALTERNATIVE
Treyton Welch
TE ยท NOStats & schedule โบ0.2FF projected
vs PITSun 9:30 AM ET
Should I start Treyton Welch or Zach Ertz this week? Week 7 Half-PPR (2026)
THE RESEARCH PICK
Start Zach Ertz
Week 7 ยท Half-PPR
Recent scoring favors Zach Ertz: 1.1 versus 0.0 FP per game.
Forecast updated ยท Half-PPR
vs PITRESEARCH PICK
Zach Ertz
TE ยท PHIStats & schedule โบ0.0FF projected
= 0.0 vs ESPN
vs DALMon 8:15 PM ET
Treyton Welch
FF0.2 FP
Boosted Treesโ FP
Workload0.2 FP
Monte Carloโ FP
- Recent scoring average: 0.0 FP.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 0.2 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
Zach Ertz
FF0.0 FP
Boosted Trees-0.7 FP
Workload1.5 FP
Monte Carloโ FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 2.3 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 1.0 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 1.1 FP.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 1.5 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Saquon Barkley, Grant Calcaterra, Eli Stowers; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 3 recorded games: 2.7 targets per game.
Projection breakdown
Treyton Welch
Fortified0.2
ESPNโ
Sleeper0.2
FantasyProsโ
Treyton Welch faces PIT in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 0.0 fantasy points.
Zach Ertz
Fortified0.0
ESPN0.0
Sleeper0.0
FantasyProsโ
Zach Ertz faces DAL in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 1.1 fantasy points.
Actuals, projections & playoff outlook
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