Should I start Treylon Burks or Tyler Allgeier this week? Week 8 Half-PPR (2026)

THE RESEARCH PICK

Start Treylon Burks

Week 8 · Half-PPR

Recent scoring favors Treylon Burks: 6.1 versus 4.8 FP per game. Treylon Burks receives the better positional matchup adjustment (8.75% versus 2.5%).

Forecast updated Oct 28, 2026, 12:16 AM ET · Half-PPR

RESEARCH PICK

Treylon Burks

WR · WASStats & schedule

6.4FF projected

↓ -1.3 vs ESPN

vs PHI

Sun 8:20 PM ET

THE ALTERNATIVE

Tyler Allgeier

RB · ARIStats & schedule

6.8FF projected

↓ -0.3 vs ESPN

at DAL

Sun 1:00 PM ET

Experimental research pick, not a proven win probability. This does not change either FF projection.

Treylon Burks

FF6.4 FP

Boosted Trees7.4 FP

Workload6.5 FP

Monte Carlo6.4 FP

Middle 80% scoring range: 1.1–13.1 FP

Recent scoring average: 6.1 FP.
The PHI defensive matchup changes the FF estimate up 8.75%.
The saved workload scenario allocates 4.2 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
Return scenarios include Marcus Mariota; their availability can redistribute the workload.
Last 3 recorded games: 4.7 targets per game.

Tyler Allgeier

FF6.8 FP

Boosted Trees5.8 FP

Workload5.9 FP

Monte Carlo7.8 FP

Middle 80% scoring range: 2.0–15.3 FP

His prior three-game scoring average was 4.0 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 0.7 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
Recent scoring average: 4.8 FP.
The DAL defensive matchup changes the FF estimate up 2.5%.
The saved workload scenario allocates 2.3 targets and 7.2 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
Return scenarios include James Conner, Carson Beck, Tip Reiman, Jeremiyah Love; their availability can redistribute the workload.
Last 3 recorded games: 9.7 carries per game.

Experimental models are research signals, not a validated tiebreaker yet. Missing saved results stay blank. No simulations or training were run for this request.

Treylon Burks

Fortified6.4

ESPN7.8

Sleeper4.4

FantasyPros5.5

Treylon Burks faces PHI in Week 8. Recent scoring average: 6.1 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast up 8.75%.

Tyler Allgeier

Fortified6.8

ESPN7.1

Sleeper6.4

FantasyPros6.9

Tyler Allgeier faces DAL in Week 8. Recent scoring average: 4.8 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast up 2.5%.

Tyler Allgeier projects for 6.8 points in half-PPR scoring, 0.4 more than Treylon Burks. The gap is small; late injury news or your league’s scoring can change the choice.

Updated Oct 28, 2026, 12:16 AM ET. Projections can change before kickoff.

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Scoring & lineup notes

PPR awards one point per reception; half-PPR awards 0.5; standard awards none. Custom league rules can change the result. Confirm active status, kickoff and lineup locks. Projections are estimates; completed-week scores are actuals.