
Should I start Theo Johnson or Zach Ertz this week? Week 7 Half-PPR (2026)
THE RESEARCH PICK
Start Zach Ertz
Week 7 ยท Half-PPR
Zach Ertz averaged 2.7 targets per game across the last 3 recorded games, compared with 1.3 for Theo Johnson. More opportunities provide another route to fantasy points.
Forecast updated ยท Half-PPR

THE ALTERNATIVE

0.0FF projected
= 0.0 vs ESPN
Sun 1:00 PM ET
RESEARCH PICK

Zach Ertz
TE ยท PHIStats & schedule โบ0.0FF projected
= 0.0 vs ESPN
Mon 8:15 PM ET
Theo Johnson
FF0.0 FP
Boosted Trees-0.4 FP
Workload0.0 FP
Monte Carlo0.8 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 6.0 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 0.7 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 6.0 FP.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 0.0 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- OUT
- Last 3 recorded games: 1.3 targets per game.
Zach Ertz
FF0.0 FP
Boosted Trees-0.7 FP
Workload1.5 FP
Monte Carloโ FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 2.3 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 1.0 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 1.1 FP.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 1.5 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Saquon Barkley, Grant Calcaterra, Eli Stowers; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 3 recorded games: 2.7 targets per game.
Projection breakdown
Theo Johnson
Fortified0.0
ESPN0.0
Sleeper0.0
FantasyProsโ
Theo Johnson faces HOU in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 6.0 fantasy points. OUT
Zach Ertz
Fortified0.0
ESPN0.0
Sleeper0.0
FantasyProsโ
Zach Ertz faces DAL in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 1.1 fantasy points.
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