THE ALTERNATIVE
Theo Johnson
TE ยท NYGStats & schedule โบ0.0FF projected
= 0.0 vs ESPN
at HOUSun 1:00 PM ET
Should I start Theo Johnson or Treyton Welch this week? Week 7 Half-PPR (2026)
THE RESEARCH PICK
Start Treyton Welch
Week 7 ยท Half-PPR
Treyton Welch receives the better positional matchup adjustment (0% versus -1.25%).
Forecast updated ยท Half-PPR
at HOURESEARCH PICK
Treyton Welch
TE ยท NOStats & schedule โบ0.2FF projected
vs PITSun 9:30 AM ET
Theo Johnson
FF0.0 FP
Boosted Trees-0.4 FP
Workload0.0 FP
Monte Carlo0.8 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 6.0 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 0.7 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 6.0 FP.
- The HOU defensive matchup changes the FF estimate down 1.25%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 0.0 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- OUT
- Last 3 recorded games: 1.3 targets per game.
Treyton Welch
FF0.2 FP
Boosted Treesโ FP
Workload0.2 FP
Monte Carloโ FP
- Recent scoring average: 0.0 FP.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 0.2 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
Projection breakdown
Theo Johnson
Fortified0.0
ESPN0.0
Sleeper0.0
FantasyProsโ
Theo Johnson faces HOU in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 6.0 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 1.25%. OUT
Treyton Welch
Fortified0.2
ESPNโ
Sleeper0.2
FantasyProsโ
Treyton Welch faces PIT in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 0.0 fantasy points.
Actuals, projections & playoff outlook
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