RESEARCH PICK
Tez Johnson
WR ยท TBStats & schedule โบ5.8FF projected
โ -1.6 vs ESPN
at CARSun 1:00 PM ET
Should I start Tez Johnson or Tyrone Tracy Jr. this week? Week 7 Half-PPR (2026)
THE RESEARCH PICK
Start Tez Johnson
Week 7 ยท Half-PPR
The available paired forecasts favor Tez Johnson after combining their estimates. The saved inputs do not isolate a stronger football-specific advantage, so treat this as a narrow research lean.
Forecast updated ยท Half-PPR
at CARTHE ALTERNATIVE
Tyrone Tracy Jr.
RB ยท NYGStats & schedule โบ5.5FF projected
โ +0.5 vs ESPN
at HOUSun 1:00 PM ET
Tez Johnson
FF5.8 FP
Boosted Trees7.1 FP
Workload6.2 FP
Monte Carlo6.2 FP
- Recent scoring average: 4.1 FP.
- The CAR defensive matchup changes the FF estimate down 2.5%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 4.0 targets and 0.4 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Baker Mayfield; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 3 recorded games: 2.0 targets per game.
Tyrone Tracy Jr.
FF5.5 FP
Boosted Trees4.8 FP
Workload4.7 FP
Monte Carlo4.6 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 7.2 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate up 0.3 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 7.2 FP.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 1.6 targets and 5.5 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Last 3 recorded games: 3.3 carries per game.
Projection breakdown
Tez Johnson
Fortified5.8
ESPN7.3
Sleeper4.6
FantasyProsโ
Tez Johnson faces CAR in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 4.1 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 2.5%.
Tyrone Tracy Jr.
Fortified5.5
ESPN5.0
Sleeper5.9
FantasyProsโ
Tyrone Tracy Jr. faces HOU in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 7.2 fantasy points.
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