THE ALTERNATIVE
Terrance Ferguson
TE · LARStats & schedule ›0.0FF projected
= 0.0 vs ESPN
at LVSun 4:25 PM ET
Should I start Terrance Ferguson or Theo Johnson this week? Week 7 Half-PPR (2026)
THE RESEARCH PICK
Start Theo Johnson
Week 7 · Half-PPR
The available paired forecasts favor Theo Johnson after combining their estimates. The saved inputs do not isolate a stronger football-specific advantage, so treat this as a narrow research lean.
Forecast updated · Half-PPR
at LVRESEARCH PICK
Theo Johnson
TE · NYGStats & schedule ›0.0FF projected
= 0.0 vs ESPN
at HOUSun 1:00 PM ET
Terrance Ferguson
FF0.0 FP
Boosted Trees0.0 FP
Workload0.0 FP
Monte Carlo0.0 FP
- The LV defensive matchup changes the FF estimate up 2.5%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 0.0 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Puka Nacua; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- IR
- Last 3 recorded games: 4.0 targets per game.
Theo Johnson
FF0.0 FP
Boosted Trees-0.4 FP
Workload0.0 FP
Monte Carlo0.8 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 6.0 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 0.7 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 6.0 FP.
- The HOU defensive matchup changes the FF estimate down 1.25%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 0.0 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- OUT
- Last 3 recorded games: 1.3 targets per game.
Terrance Ferguson
Fortified0.0
ESPN0.0
Sleeper0.0
FantasyPros—
Terrance Ferguson faces LV in Week 7. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast up 2.5%. IR
Theo Johnson
Fortified0.0
ESPN0.0
Sleeper0.0
FantasyPros—
Theo Johnson faces HOU in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 6.0 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 1.25%. OUT
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