RESEARCH PICK
Rico Dowdle
RB ยท PITStats & schedule โบ8.2FF projected
โ +1.2 vs ESPN
at NOSun 9:30 AM ET
Should I start Rico Dowdle or Ryan Flournoy this week? Week 7 Half-PPR (2026)
THE RESEARCH PICK
Start Rico Dowdle
Week 7 ยท Half-PPR
Rico Dowdle receives the better positional matchup adjustment (10% versus 7.5%).
Forecast updated ยท Half-PPR
at NOTHE ALTERNATIVE
Ryan Flournoy
WR ยท DALStats & schedule โบ7.8FF projected
โ +0.6 vs ESPN
at PHIMon 8:15 PM ET
Rico Dowdle
FF8.2 FP
Boosted Trees5.5 FP
Workload7.6 FP
Monte Carloโ FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 6.4 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 1.0 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 6.4 FP.
- The NO defensive matchup changes the FF estimate up 10%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 2.7 targets and 7.5 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Rico Dowdle; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 3 recorded games: 7.3 carries per game.
Ryan Flournoy
FF7.8 FP
Boosted Trees6.0 FP
Workload6.4 FP
Monte Carlo6.6 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 9.9 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 0.9 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 9.9 FP.
- The PHI defensive matchup changes the FF estimate up 7.5%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 5.2 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Last 3 recorded games: 6.0 targets per game.
Projection breakdown
Rico Dowdle
Fortified8.2
ESPN7.0
Sleeper8.1
FantasyProsโ
Rico Dowdle faces NO in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 6.4 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast up 10%.
Ryan Flournoy
Fortified7.8
ESPN7.1
Sleeper5.6
FantasyProsโ
Ryan Flournoy faces PHI in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 9.9 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast up 7.5%.
Actuals, projections & playoff outlook
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