RESEARCH PICK
Ollie Gordon II
RB ยท MIAStats & schedule โบ12.1FF projected
โ +1.0 vs ESPN
at NYJSun 1:00 PM ET
Should I start Ollie Gordon II or Sam LaPorta this week? Week 7 Half-PPR (2026)
THE RESEARCH PICK
Start Ollie Gordon II
Week 7 ยท Half-PPR
Ollie Gordon II receives the better positional matchup adjustment (0% versus -2.5%).
Forecast updated ยท Half-PPR
at NYJTHE ALTERNATIVE
Sam LaPorta
TE ยท DETStats & schedule โบ12.1FF projected
โ +1.9 vs ESPN
vs GBSun 4:25 PM ET
Ollie Gordon II
FF12.1 FP
Boosted Trees9.6 FP
Workload11.2 FP
Monte Carlo11.2 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 15.9 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 0.9 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 15.9 FP.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 1.7 targets and 15.3 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Last 3 recorded games: 14.7 carries per game.
Sam LaPorta
FF12.1 FP
Boosted Trees7.9 FP
Workload10.5 FP
Monte Carlo10.4 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 17.9 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 2.7 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 17.9 FP.
- The GB defensive matchup changes the FF estimate down 2.5%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 6.9 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Last 3 recorded games: 7.3 targets per game.
Projection breakdown
Ollie Gordon II
Fortified12.1
ESPN11.0
Sleeper12.4
FantasyProsโ
Ollie Gordon II faces NYJ in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 15.9 fantasy points.
Sam LaPorta
Fortified12.1
ESPN10.2
Sleeper10.8
FantasyProsโ
Sam LaPorta faces GB in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 17.9 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 2.5%.
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