THE ALTERNATIVE
Mike Gesicki
TE ยท CINStats & schedule โบ6.8FF projected
โ +1.1 vs ESPN
at BALSun 1:00 PM ET
Should I start Mike Gesicki or Ted Hurst III this week? Week 7 Half-PPR (2026)
THE RESEARCH PICK
Start Ted Hurst III
Week 7 ยท Half-PPR
The available paired forecasts favor Ted Hurst III after combining their estimates. The saved inputs do not isolate a stronger football-specific advantage, so treat this as a narrow research lean.
Forecast updated ยท Half-PPR
at BALRESEARCH PICK
Ted Hurst III
WR ยท TBStats & schedule โบ6.5FF projected
โ -1.9 vs ESPN
at CARSun 1:00 PM ET
Mike Gesicki
FF6.8 FP
Boosted Trees5.1 FP
Workload4.8 FP
Monte Carlo4.9 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 9.2 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 1.2 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 9.2 FP.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 3.2 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Last 3 recorded games: 3.3 targets per game.
Ted Hurst III
FF6.5 FP
Boosted Trees8.7 FP
Workload6.2 FP
Monte Carlo6.5 FP
- Recent scoring average: 3.0 FP.
- The CAR defensive matchup changes the FF estimate down 2.5%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 5.2 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Baker Mayfield; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 3 recorded games: 3.0 targets per game.
Projection breakdown
Mike Gesicki
Fortified6.8
ESPN5.7
Sleeper6.7
FantasyProsโ
Mike Gesicki faces BAL in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 9.2 fantasy points.
Ted Hurst III
Fortified6.5
ESPN8.4
Sleeper6.6
FantasyProsโ
Ted Hurst III faces CAR in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 3.0 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 2.5%.
Actuals, projections & playoff outlook
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