THE ALTERNATIVE
Michael Penix Jr.
QB ยท ATLStats & schedule โบ14.7FF projected
โ +0.1 vs ESPN
vs SFSun 1:00 PM ET
Should I start Michael Penix Jr. or Tanner McKee this week? Week 7 Half-PPR (2026)
THE RESEARCH PICK
Start Tanner McKee
Week 7 ยท Half-PPR
Tanner McKee averaged 45.0 pass attempts per game across the last 1 recorded games, compared with 28.3 for Michael Penix Jr.. More opportunities provide another route to fantasy points. Tanner McKee receives the better positional matchup adjustment (3.75% versus 0%).
Forecast updated ยท Half-PPR
vs SFRESEARCH PICK
Tanner McKee
QB ยท PHIStats & schedule โบ14.8FF projected
โ +0.1 vs ESPN
vs DALMon 8:15 PM ET
Michael Penix Jr.
FF14.7 FP
Boosted Trees13.8 FP
Workload14.9 FP
Monte Carloโ FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 16.7 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 1.1 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 16.7 FP.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 0.0 targets and 2.1 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Olamide Zaccheaus; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 3 recorded games: 28.3 pass attempts per game.
Tanner McKee
FF14.8 FP
Boosted Trees15.9 FP
Workload13.6 FP
Monte Carloโ FP
- Recent scoring average: 12.6 FP.
- The DAL defensive matchup changes the FF estimate up 3.75%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 0.0 targets and 2.5 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Saquon Barkley, Grant Calcaterra, Eli Stowers; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 1 recorded games: 45.0 pass attempts per game.
Projection breakdown
Michael Penix Jr.
Fortified14.7
ESPN14.6
Sleeper15.1
FantasyProsโ
Michael Penix Jr. faces SF in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 16.7 fantasy points.
Tanner McKee
Fortified14.8
ESPN14.7
Sleeper13.8
FantasyProsโ
Tanner McKee faces DAL in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 12.6 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast up 3.75%.
Actuals, projections & playoff outlook
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