THE ALTERNATIVE
Kyle Pitts Sr.
TE ยท ATLStats & schedule โบ8.3FF projected
โ +0.4 vs ESPN
vs SFSun 1:00 PM ET
Should I start Kyle Pitts Sr. or Travis Kelce this week? Week 7 Half-PPR (2026)
THE RESEARCH PICK
Start Travis Kelce
Week 7 ยท Half-PPR
Travis Kelce receives the better positional matchup adjustment (-6.25% versus -7.5%).
Forecast updated ยท Half-PPR
vs SFRESEARCH PICK
Travis Kelce
TE ยท KCStats & schedule โบ7.9FF projected
โ -0.1 vs ESPN
at SEASun 8:20 PM ET
Kyle Pitts Sr.
FF8.3 FP
Boosted Trees6.3 FP
Workload7.9 FP
Monte Carloโ FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 13.1 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 1.3 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 13.1 FP.
- The SF defensive matchup changes the FF estimate down 7.5%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 5.9 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Olamide Zaccheaus; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 3 recorded games: 5.3 targets per game.
Travis Kelce
FF7.9 FP
Boosted Trees7.6 FP
Workload8.8 FP
Monte Carlo8.8 FP
- Recent scoring average: 4.9 FP.
- The SEA defensive matchup changes the FF estimate down 6.25%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 5.5 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Last 3 recorded games: 3.7 targets per game.
Projection breakdown
Kyle Pitts Sr.
Fortified8.3
ESPN7.9
Sleeper7.5
FantasyProsโ
Kyle Pitts Sr. faces SF in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 13.1 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 7.5%.
Travis Kelce
Fortified7.9
ESPN8.0
Sleeper9.7
FantasyProsโ
Travis Kelce faces SEA in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 4.9 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 6.25%.
Actuals, projections & playoff outlook
Your next decision
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