RESEARCH PICK
Keenan Allen
WR ยท INDStats & schedule โบ7.1FF projected
โ +0.4 vs ESPN
at MINSun 1:00 PM ET
Should I start Keenan Allen or Makai Lemon this week? Week 7 Half-PPR (2026)
THE RESEARCH PICK
Start Keenan Allen
Week 7 ยท Half-PPR
Keenan Allen averaged 9.7 targets per game across the last 3 recorded games, compared with 6.3 for Makai Lemon. More opportunities provide another route to fantasy points. Recent scoring favors Keenan Allen: 9.6 versus 4.8 FP per game.
Forecast updated ยท Half-PPR
at MINTHE ALTERNATIVE
Makai Lemon
WR ยท PHIStats & schedule โบ7.0FF projected
โ +0.5 vs ESPN
vs DALMon 8:15 PM ET
Keenan Allen
FF7.1 FP
Boosted Trees5.6 FP
Workload7.4 FP
Monte Carlo7.4 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 9.6 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 0.9 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 9.6 FP.
- The MIN defensive matchup changes the FF estimate down 5%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 7.7 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Last 3 recorded games: 9.7 targets per game.
Makai Lemon
FF7.0 FP
Boosted Trees4.8 FP
Workload7.7 FP
Monte Carloโ FP
- Recent scoring average: 4.8 FP.
- The DAL defensive matchup changes the FF estimate up 6.25%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 6.9 targets and 0.1 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Saquon Barkley, Grant Calcaterra, Eli Stowers; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 3 recorded games: 6.3 targets per game.
Projection breakdown
Keenan Allen
Fortified7.1
ESPN6.7
Sleeper7.3
FantasyProsโ
Keenan Allen faces MIN in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 9.6 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 5%.
Makai Lemon
Fortified7.0
ESPN6.5
Sleeper6.9
FantasyProsโ
Makai Lemon faces DAL in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 4.8 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast up 6.25%.
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