RESEARCH PICK
Kaleb Johnson
RB ยท GBStats & schedule โบ0.2FF projected
โ +0.2 vs ESPN
at DETSun 4:25 PM ET
Should I start Kaleb Johnson or Trevor Etienne this week? Week 7 Half-PPR (2026)
THE RESEARCH PICK
Start Kaleb Johnson
Week 7 ยท Half-PPR
Kaleb Johnson averaged 5.3 carries per game across the last 3 recorded games, compared with 1.0 for Trevor Etienne. More opportunities provide another route to fantasy points. Recent scoring favors Kaleb Johnson: 1.5 versus -0.1 FP per game. Kaleb Johnson receives the better positional matchup adjustment (0% versus -7.5%).
Forecast updated ยท Half-PPR
at DETTHE ALTERNATIVE
Trevor Etienne
RB ยท CARStats & schedule โบ0.5FF projected
โ +0.5 vs ESPN
vs TBSun 1:00 PM ET
Kaleb Johnson
FF0.2 FP
Boosted Trees-0.2 FP
Workload1.2 FP
Monte Carlo1.2 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 1.5 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate up 0.3 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 1.5 FP.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 0.0 targets and 1.9 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Bo Melton; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 3 recorded games: 5.3 carries per game.
Trevor Etienne
FF0.5 FP
Boosted Trees-0.6 FP
Workload0.1 FP
Monte Carlo0.1 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was -0.1 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 0.1 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: -0.1 FP.
- The TB defensive matchup changes the FF estimate down 7.5%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 0.0 targets and 0.2 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Last 1 recorded games: 1.0 carries per game.
Projection breakdown
Kaleb Johnson
Fortified0.2
ESPN0.0
Sleeper0.2
FantasyProsโ
Kaleb Johnson faces DET in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 1.5 fantasy points.
Trevor Etienne
Fortified0.5
ESPN0.0
Sleeper1.2
FantasyProsโ
Trevor Etienne faces TB in Week 7. Recent scoring average: -0.1 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 7.5%.
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