
Should I start Jordan Mason or Woody Marks this week? Week 9 Half-PPR (2026)
THE FF CALL
Slight lean: Woody Marks
+0.5 projected edge ยท Half-PPR
Start Woody Marks over Jordan Mason for Week 9 Half-PPR: 8.3 projected points versus 7.8.
- Jordan Mason: 4.4 FP recent scoring average; 6.25% matchup lift against BUF.
- Woody Marks: 8.8 FP recent scoring average.
Forecast updated ยท Half-PPR



Jordan Mason
RB ยท MINStats & schedule โบWhy this pick?
Woody Marks
Woody Marks faces LAC in Week 9. Recent scoring average: 8.8 fantasy points.
Jordan Mason
Jordan Mason faces BUF in Week 9. Recent scoring average: 4.4 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast up 6.25%.
Your next decision
Scoring & lineup notes
FORTIFIED RANKINGS ยท ยท WEEK 9 ยท Half-PPR
RB. The bigger picture.
Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.
- 1
Jahmyr GibbsRB ยท DET vs MIASun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 25.1Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 24.2Sleeper 23.1FantasyPros 23.725.1Expected FP - 2
Kenneth Walker IIIRB ยท KC vs NYJSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 20.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 21.5Sleeper 19.9FantasyPros 19.620.5Expected FP - 3
Christian McCaffreyRB ยท SF vs LVSun 4:25 PM ETCheck availability ยท Range unavailableMean 20.0Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 20.5Sleeper 20.8FantasyPros 18.520.0Expected FP
How the forecast and ranges work
FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.
Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10โP90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.
Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.
YOUR LINEUP ยท A CLOSER LOOK
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Woody Marks8.3projected FP
David Montgomery9.3projected FP
Woody Marks8.3projected FP
Aaron Jones Sr.8.3projected FP
Woody Marks8.3projected FP
Jadarian Price8.3projected FP
Woody Marks8.3projected FP
J.K. Dobbins8.8projected FP
Jahmyr Gibbs25.1projected FP
Kenneth Walker III20.5projected FP
Kenneth Walker III20.5projected FP
Christian McCaffrey20.0projected FP
Christian McCaffrey20.0projected FP
Jonathan Taylor19.7projected FP
Jonathan Taylor19.7projected FP
Bijan Robinson18.2projected FP
Bijan Robinson18.2projected FP
Javonte Williams16.8projected FP
Javonte Williams16.8projected FP
Kyren Williams15.9projected FP