
Should I start Jordan Mason or Mark Andrews this week? Week 9 Half-PPR (2026)
THE FF CALL
Start Jordan Mason
+2.9 projected edge ยท Half-PPR
Start Jordan Mason over Mark Andrews for Week 9 Half-PPR: 7.8 projected points versus 5.0.
- Jordan Mason: 4.4 FP recent scoring average; 6.25% matchup lift against BUF.
- Mark Andrews: 2.5 FP recent scoring average.
Forecast updated ยท Half-PPR



Mark Andrews
TE ยท BALStats & schedule โบWhy this pick?
Jordan Mason
Jordan Mason faces BUF in Week 9. Recent scoring average: 4.4 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast up 6.25%.
Mark Andrews
Mark Andrews faces JAC in Week 9. Recent scoring average: 2.5 fantasy points.
THE MATCHUP, IN CONTEXT
What separates Jordan Mason and Mark Andrews?
Jordan Mason holds a 2.9 FP projected edge over Mark Andrews. Read that as an expected-points preference, not a promise that he will finish higher.
ESPN, Sleeper, FantasyPros, Boosted Trees project Jordan Mason higher. Agreement across these available estimates is supporting context; the models can share inputs and are not independent confirmations.
Jordan Mason
Jordan Mason has a 7.8 FP forecast in Half-PPR against BUF. His recorded recent scoring average is 4.4 FP, putting this forecast 3.4 points above that average. The position-specific defensive adjustment raises the FF estimate by 6.25%; it is already included in the projection.
Mark Andrews
Mark Andrews has a 5.0 FP forecast in Half-PPR against JAC. His recorded recent scoring average is 2.5 FP, putting this forecast 2.4 points above that average.
Compare the saved forecasts side by side
| Source | Jordan Mason | Mark Andrews | Projected edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| ESPN | 7.3 FP | 4.7 FP | Jordan Mason +2.6 |
| Sleeper | 7.3 FP | 5.6 FP | Jordan Mason +1.6 |
| FantasyPros | 7.9 FP | 5.5 FP | Jordan Mason +2.4 |
| Boosted Trees | 8.8 FP | 7.5 FP | Jordan Mason +1.2 |
Before the first kickoff. Jordan Mason: Mon 8:15 PM ET. Mark Andrews: Thu 8:15 PM ET. If a questionable player has the later kickoff, keep an eligible later-game replacement available. Where your league allows it, putting a later-game starter in FLEX can preserve swap options.
Your next decision
Scoring & lineup notes
FORTIFIED RANKINGS ยท ยท WEEK 9 ยท Half-PPR
FLEX. The bigger picture.
Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.
- 1
Jahmyr GibbsRB ยท DET vs MIASun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 25.1Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 24.2Sleeper 23.1FantasyPros 23.725.1Expected FP - 2
Jaxon Smith-NjigbaWR ยท SEA vs ARISun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 21.1Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 19.0Sleeper 21.2FantasyPros 20.021.1Expected FP - 3
Kenneth Walker IIIRB ยท KC vs NYJSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 20.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 21.5Sleeper 19.9FantasyPros 19.620.5Expected FP
How the forecast and ranges work
FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.
Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10โP90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.
Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.
YOUR LINEUP ยท A CLOSER LOOK
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Jordan Mason7.8projected FP
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Dylan Sampson7.9projected FP
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Jadarian Price8.3projected FP
Jahmyr Gibbs25.1projected FP
Kenneth Walker III20.5projected FP
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Christian McCaffrey20.0projected FP
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Jonathan Taylor19.7projected FP
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Bijan Robinson18.2projected FP
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Javonte Williams16.8projected FP
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Kyren Williams15.9projected FP
Xavier Worthy
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TreVeyon Henderson