Should I start Joe Burrow or Patrick Mahomes this week? Week 7 Half-PPR (2026)

THE FF CALL

Start Joe Burrow

+5.4 projected edge · Half-PPR

Start Joe Burrow over Patrick Mahomes for Week 7 Half-PPR: 19.7 projected points versus 14.3.

Joe Burrow: 24.2 FP recent scoring average.
Patrick Mahomes: 13.7 FP recent scoring average; 8.75% matchup reduction against SEA.

Forecast updated Oct 25, 2026, 2:17 AM ET · Half-PPR

FF PICK

Joe Burrow

QB · CINStats & schedule

19.7FF projected

↑ +0.4 vs ESPN

at BAL

Sun 1:00 PM ET

THE ALTERNATIVE

Patrick Mahomes

QB · KCStats & schedule

14.3FF projected

↓ -1.3 vs ESPN

at SEA

Sun 8:20 PM ET

Why this pick?

Joe Burrow

Fortified19.7

ESPN19.3

Sleeper19.1

FantasyPros—

Joe Burrow faces BAL in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 24.2 fantasy points.

Patrick Mahomes

Fortified14.3

ESPN15.6

Sleeper15.5

FantasyPros—

Patrick Mahomes faces SEA in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 13.7 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 8.75%.

Joe Burrow projects for 19.7 points in half-PPR scoring, 5.4 more than Patrick Mahomes. This is a projection-based recommendation, not a guarantee. Verify the latest injury report and active status before kickoff.

Updated Oct 25, 2026, 2:17 AM ET. Projections can change before kickoff.

Actuals, projections & playoff outlook

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Scoring & lineup notes

PPR awards one point per reception; half-PPR awards 0.5; standard awards none. Custom league rules can change the result. Confirm active status, kickoff and lineup locks. Projections are estimates; completed-week scores are actuals.