
Should I start Jake Ferguson or Mike Washington Jr. this week? Week 7 Half-PPR (2026)
THE RESEARCH PICK
Start Jake Ferguson
Week 7 ยท Half-PPR
The available paired forecasts favor Jake Ferguson after combining their estimates. The saved inputs do not isolate a stronger football-specific advantage, so treat this as a narrow research lean.
Forecast updated ยท Half-PPR

RESEARCH PICK

4.9FF projected
โ +0.3 vs ESPN
Mon 8:15 PM ET
THE ALTERNATIVE

Mike Washington Jr.
RB ยท LVStats & schedule โบ5.0FF projected
โ -0.5 vs ESPN
Sun 4:25 PM ET
Jake Ferguson
FF4.9 FP
Boosted Trees5.1 FP
Workload4.0 FP
Monte Carlo4.1 FP
- Recent scoring average: 2.8 FP.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 3.6 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Last 3 recorded games: 4.3 targets per game.
Mike Washington Jr.
FF5.0 FP
Boosted Trees4.7 FP
Workload5.9 FP
Monte Carlo2.8 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 3.1 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 0.4 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 3.1 FP.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 1.1 targets and 7.1 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Mike Washington Jr.; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 3 recorded games: 6.3 carries per game.
Projection breakdown
Jake Ferguson
Fortified4.9
ESPN4.6
Sleeper6.3
FantasyProsโ
Jake Ferguson faces PHI in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 2.8 fantasy points.
Mike Washington Jr.
Fortified5.0
ESPN5.5
Sleeper5.2
FantasyProsโ
Mike Washington Jr. faces LAR in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 3.1 fantasy points.
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