
Should I start Jahan Dotson or Xavier Worthy this week? Week 9 Half-PPR (2026)
THE FF CALL
Start Xavier Worthy
+1.1 projected edge ยท Half-PPR
Start Xavier Worthy over Jahan Dotson for Week 9 Half-PPR: 7.9 projected points versus 6.8.
- Jahan Dotson: 9.3 FP recent scoring average.
- Xavier Worthy: 5.4 FP recent scoring average.
Forecast updated ยท Half-PPR



Jahan Dotson
WR ยท ATLStats & schedule โบWhy this pick?
Xavier Worthy
Xavier Worthy faces NYJ in Week 9. Recent scoring average: 5.4 fantasy points.
Jahan Dotson
Jahan Dotson faces CIN in Week 9. Recent scoring average: 9.3 fantasy points.
Your next decision
Scoring & lineup notes
FORTIFIED RANKINGS ยท
WR. The bigger picture.
Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.
- 1
Jaxon Smith-NjigbaWR ยท SEA vs ARISun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 21.1Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 19.0Sleeper 21.2FantasyPros 20.021.1Expected FP - 2
Puka NacuaWR ยท LAR vs WASSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 20.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 19.9Sleeper 19.0FantasyPros 19.720.3Expected FP - 3
CeeDee LambWR ยท DAL vs INDSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 17.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 16.9Sleeper 16.8FantasyPros 16.617.5Expected FP
How the forecast and ranges work
FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.
Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10โP90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.
Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.
YOUR LINEUP ยท A CLOSER LOOK
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Xavier Worthy7.9projected FP
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Ja'Marr Chase17.2projected FP
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Tee Higgins17.0projected FP
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Amon-Ra St. Brown16.4projected FP
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Malik Nabers15.5projected FP