THE ALTERNATIVE
Ian Thomas
TE · LVStats & schedule ›1.2FF projected
↑ +0.3 vs ESPN
vs LARSun 4:25 PM ET
Should I start Ian Thomas or Nate Adkins this week? Week 7 Half-PPR (2026)
THE RESEARCH PICK
Start Nate Adkins
Week 7 · Half-PPR
Nate Adkins receives the better positional matchup adjustment (5% versus -8.75%).
Forecast updated · Half-PPR
vs LARRESEARCH PICK
Nate Adkins
TE · DENStats & schedule ›1.5FF projected
↑ +0.1 vs ESPN
at ARISun 4:05 PM ET
Ian Thomas
FF1.2 FP
Boosted Trees0.2 FP
Workload1.1 FP
Monte Carlo1.2 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 3.9 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 1.0 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 3.9 FP.
- The LAR defensive matchup changes the FF estimate down 8.75%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 0.8 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Mike Washington Jr.; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 3 recorded games: 1.0 targets per game.
Nate Adkins
FF1.5 FP
Boosted Trees1.7 FP
Workload0.6 FP
Monte Carlo0.7 FP
- Recent scoring average: 0.0 FP.
- The ARI defensive matchup changes the FF estimate up 5%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 0.5 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Jonah Coleman; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 3 recorded games: 0.0 targets per game.
Ian Thomas
Fortified1.2
ESPN0.9
Sleeper0.5
FantasyPros—
Ian Thomas faces LAR in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 3.9 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 8.75%.
Nate Adkins
Fortified1.5
ESPN1.4
Sleeper1.7
FantasyPros—
Nate Adkins faces ARI in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 0.0 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast up 5%.
Actuals, projections & playoff outlook
Your next decision
SEE THE WHOLE SEASON
Don’t just win Sunday.
Win what’s next.
Your roster. Every week.
A plan for the playoffs.
WEEK 7PLAYOFFS ♛
Build my Game Plan Your team. Your league’s rules.
Scoring & lineup notes
More Week 7 decisions
