
Should I start Ian Thomas or Luke Farrell this week? Week 7 Half-PPR (2026)
THE RESEARCH PICK
Start Luke Farrell
Week 7 ยท Half-PPR
Luke Farrell receives the better positional matchup adjustment (0% versus -8.75%).
Forecast updated ยท Half-PPR

THE ALTERNATIVE

1.2FF projected
โ +0.3 vs ESPN
Sun 4:25 PM ET
RESEARCH PICK

Luke Farrell
TE ยท SFStats & schedule โบ1.3FF projected
โ -0.1 vs ESPN
Sun 1:00 PM ET
Ian Thomas
FF1.2 FP
Boosted Trees0.2 FP
Workload1.1 FP
Monte Carlo1.2 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 3.9 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 1.0 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 3.9 FP.
- The LAR defensive matchup changes the FF estimate down 8.75%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 0.8 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Mike Washington Jr.; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 3 recorded games: 1.0 targets per game.
Luke Farrell
FF1.3 FP
Boosted Trees1.7 FP
Workload1.0 FP
Monte Carlo1.0 FP
- Recent scoring average: 0.0 FP.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 0.7 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Last 3 recorded games: 0.3 targets per game.
Projection breakdown
Ian Thomas
Fortified1.2
ESPN0.9
Sleeper0.5
FantasyProsโ
Ian Thomas faces LAR in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 3.9 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 8.75%.
Luke Farrell
Fortified1.3
ESPN1.4
Sleeper1.4
FantasyProsโ
Luke Farrell faces ATL in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 0.0 fantasy points.
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