
Should I start Ian Thomas or Jeremy Ruckert this week? Week 7 Half-PPR (2026)
THE RESEARCH PICK
Start Ian Thomas
Week 7 ยท Half-PPR
Ian Thomas averaged 1.0 targets per game across the last 3 recorded games, compared with 0.0 for Jeremy Ruckert. More opportunities provide another route to fantasy points. Recent scoring favors Ian Thomas: 3.9 versus 0.0 FP per game.
Forecast updated ยท Half-PPR

RESEARCH PICK

1.2FF projected
โ +0.3 vs ESPN
Sun 4:25 PM ET
THE ALTERNATIVE

Jeremy Ruckert
TE ยท NYJStats & schedule โบ1.4FF projected
โ +0.6 vs ESPN
Sun 1:00 PM ET
Ian Thomas
FF1.2 FP
Boosted Trees0.2 FP
Workload1.1 FP
Monte Carlo1.2 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 3.9 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 1.0 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 3.9 FP.
- The LAR defensive matchup changes the FF estimate down 8.75%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 0.8 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Mike Washington Jr.; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 3 recorded games: 1.0 targets per game.
Jeremy Ruckert
FF1.4 FP
Boosted Trees1.1 FP
Workload0.3 FP
Monte Carlo0.3 FP
- Recent scoring average: 0.0 FP.
- The MIA defensive matchup changes the FF estimate up 7.5%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 0.2 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Kene Nwangwu, Breece Hall; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 3 recorded games: 0.0 targets per game.
Ian Thomas
Fortified1.2
ESPN0.9
Sleeper0.5
FantasyProsโ
Ian Thomas faces LAR in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 3.9 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 8.75%.
Jeremy Ruckert
Fortified1.4
ESPN0.8
Sleeper2.2
FantasyProsโ
Jeremy Ruckert faces MIA in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 0.0 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast up 7.5%.
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