Should I start Harold Fannin Jr. or Kyle Pitts Sr. this week? Week 9 Half-PPR (2026)

THE FF CALL

Start Harold Fannin Jr.

+1.4 projected edge · Half-PPR

Start Harold Fannin Jr. over Kyle Pitts Sr. for Week 9 Half-PPR: 9.7 projected points versus 8.3.

Harold Fannin Jr.: 10.0 FP recent scoring average; 3.75% matchup lift against NO.
Kyle Pitts Sr.: 10.9 FP recent scoring average.

Forecast updated Nov 4, 2026, 11:05 AM ET · Half-PPR

FF PICK

Harold Fannin Jr.

TE · CLEStats & schedule

9.7FF projected

↑ +0.7 vs ESPN

at NO

Sun 1:00 PM ET

THE ALTERNATIVE

Kyle Pitts Sr.

TE · ATLStats & schedule

8.3FF projected

↑ +0.1 vs ESPN

vs CIN

Sun 9:30 AM ET

Why this pick?

Harold Fannin Jr.

Fortified9.7

ESPN9.0

Sleeper9.3

FantasyPros9.3

Boosted TreesExperimental · saved Oct 27, 12:04 AM ET7.8

Harold Fannin Jr. faces NO in Week 9. Recent scoring average: 10.0 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast up 3.75%.

Kyle Pitts Sr.

Fortified8.3

ESPN8.2

Sleeper7.9

FantasyPros7.6

Boosted TreesExperimental · saved Oct 27, 12:04 AM ET6.4

Kyle Pitts Sr. faces CIN in Week 9. Recent scoring average: 10.9 fantasy points.

Harold Fannin Jr. projects for 9.7 points in half-PPR scoring, 1.4 more than Kyle Pitts Sr.. This is a projection-based recommendation, not a guarantee. Verify the latest injury report and active status before kickoff.

Updated Nov 4, 2026, 11:05 AM ET. Projections can change before kickoff.

THE MATCHUP, IN CONTEXT

What separates Harold Fannin Jr. and Kyle Pitts Sr.?

Harold Fannin Jr. holds a 1.4 FP projected edge over Kyle Pitts Sr.. Read that as an expected-points preference, not a promise that he will finish higher.

ESPN, Sleeper, FantasyPros, Boosted Trees project Harold Fannin Jr. higher. Agreement across these available estimates is supporting context; the models can share inputs and are not independent confirmations.

Harold Fannin Jr.

Harold Fannin Jr. has a 9.7 FP forecast in Half-PPR at NO. His recorded recent scoring average is 10.0 FP, putting this forecast 0.3 points below that average. The position-specific defensive adjustment raises the FF estimate by 3.75%; it is already included in the projection.

Kyle Pitts Sr.

Kyle Pitts Sr. has a 8.3 FP forecast in Half-PPR against CIN. His recorded recent scoring average is 10.9 FP, putting this forecast 2.7 points below that average.

Compare the saved forecasts side by side

Source	Harold Fannin Jr.	Kyle Pitts Sr.	Projected edge
ESPN	9.0 FP	8.2 FP	Harold Fannin Jr. +0.8
Sleeper	9.3 FP	7.9 FP	Harold Fannin Jr. +1.4
FantasyPros	9.3 FP	7.6 FP	Harold Fannin Jr. +1.6
Boosted Trees	7.8 FP	6.4 FP	Harold Fannin Jr. +1.3

Model save times and conditional-input notes are listed in Why this pick. These forecasts use the selected scoring preset; they do not replace custom league rules.

Before the first kickoff. Harold Fannin Jr.: Sun 1:00 PM ET. Kyle Pitts Sr.: Sun 9:30 AM ET. If a questionable player has the later kickoff, keep an eligible later-game replacement available. Where your league allows it, putting a later-game starter in FLEX can preserve swap options.

This is a lineup choice, not an instruction to drop the other player. For bye coverage, roster moves and your league’s actual playoff weeks, build your GamePlan ↗.

Your next decision

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Scoring & lineup notes

PPR awards one point per reception; half-PPR awards 0.5; standard awards none. Custom league rules can change the result. Confirm active status, kickoff and lineup locks. Projections are estimates; completed-week scores are actuals.

FORTIFIED RANKINGS · Rankings position · WEEK 9 · Half-PPR

TE. The bigger picture.

Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.

FF expected pointsMedian · when availableWindow: experimental middle 80%● ESPN● Sleeper● FantasyPros

3 shown · common FP scale

10.815.3

FF MEAN

1
Brock BowersTE · LV vs SFSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
Mean 15.2Range unavailable
Median unavailable
ESPN 14.7Sleeper 15.3FantasyPros 13.9
15.2Expected FP
2
George KittleTE · SF vs LVSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
Mean 14.1Range unavailable
Median unavailable
ESPN 13.3Sleeper 12.8FantasyPros 12.6
14.1Expected FP
3
Trey McBrideTE · ARI vs SEASun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
Mean 12.0Range unavailable
Median unavailable
ESPN 10.8Sleeper 11.5FantasyPros 11.9
12.0Expected FP

How the forecast and ranges work

FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.

Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10–P90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.

Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.

YOUR LINEUP · A CLOSER LOOK

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Flex · Week 9