THE ALTERNATIVE
Gavin Bartholomew
TE · MINStats & schedule ›1.4FF projected
↑ +0.2 vs ESPN
vs INDSun 1:00 PM ET
Should I start Gavin Bartholomew or Tim Patrick this week? Week 7 Half-PPR (2026)
THE RESEARCH PICK
Start Tim Patrick
Week 7 · Half-PPR
Tim Patrick averaged 3.0 targets per game across the last 2 recorded games, compared with 2.3 for Gavin Bartholomew. More opportunities provide another route to fantasy points.
Forecast updated · Half-PPR
vs INDRESEARCH PICK
Tim Patrick
WR · NYJStats & schedule ›1.3FF projected
↑ +0.1 vs ESPN
vs MIASun 1:00 PM ET
Gavin Bartholomew
FF1.4 FP
Boosted Trees0.6 FP
Workload2.0 FP
Monte Carlo2.1 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 3.4 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 0.9 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 3.4 FP.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 1.5 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Last 3 recorded games: 2.3 targets per game.
Tim Patrick
FF1.3 FP
Boosted Trees1.1 FP
Workload2.1 FP
Monte Carlo2.2 FP
- Recent scoring average: 2.8 FP.
- The MIA defensive matchup changes the FF estimate down 8.75%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 1.4 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Kene Nwangwu, Breece Hall; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 2 recorded games: 3.0 targets per game.
Gavin Bartholomew
Fortified1.4
ESPN1.2
Sleeper0.6
FantasyPros—
Gavin Bartholomew faces IND in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 3.4 fantasy points.
Tim Patrick
Fortified1.3
ESPN1.3
Sleeper1.4
FantasyPros—
Tim Patrick faces MIA in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 2.8 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 8.75%.
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