
Should I start Garrett Wilson or Ollie Gordon II this week? Week 7 Half-PPR (2026)
THE RESEARCH PICK
Start Garrett Wilson
Week 7 ยท Half-PPR
The available paired forecasts favor Garrett Wilson after combining their estimates. The saved inputs do not isolate a stronger football-specific advantage, so treat this as a narrow research lean.
Forecast updated ยท Half-PPR

RESEARCH PICK

12.1FF projected
โ -0.1 vs ESPN
Sun 1:00 PM ET
THE ALTERNATIVE

Ollie Gordon II
RB ยท MIAStats & schedule โบ12.1FF projected
โ +1.1 vs ESPN
Sun 1:00 PM ET
Garrett Wilson
FF12.1 FP
Boosted Trees11.8 FP
Workload9.3 FP
Monte Carlo9.9 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 10.2 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate up 1.4 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 10.2 FP.
- The MIA defensive matchup changes the FF estimate down 8.75%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 5.9 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Kene Nwangwu, Breece Hall; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 3 recorded games: 7.0 targets per game.
Ollie Gordon II
FF12.1 FP
Boosted Trees9.6 FP
Workload11.2 FP
Monte Carlo11.2 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 15.9 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 0.9 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 15.9 FP.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 1.7 targets and 15.3 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Last 3 recorded games: 14.7 carries per game.
Garrett Wilson
Fortified12.1
ESPN12.2
Sleeper13.8
FantasyProsโ
Garrett Wilson faces MIA in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 10.2 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 8.75%.
Ollie Gordon II
Fortified12.1
ESPN11.0
Sleeper12.5
FantasyProsโ
Ollie Gordon II faces NYJ in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 15.9 fantasy points.
Actuals, projections & playoff outlook
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